Renault Shares Drop 3% and Threaten Their Lowest Since 2022
In mid-morning trading, the diamond-shaped logo manufacturer sharply declines, contrary to a well-oriented Parisian index. The stock erases the previous day's rebound and falls back to its multi-year lows, amid a course target downgrade by a major broker.
Deutsche Bank Lowers Its Price Target from €40 to €30.50 on the Stock
Renault shares lose 2.97% at €25.50 during the session, against a CAC 40 up by 0.71%. The stock occupies the last place in the index, far behind Dassault Systèmes (-0.90%). This movement echoes the revision published on Wednesday by Deutsche Bank, which lowers its target from €40 to €30.50 while shifting to a 'Hold' rating.
This new target still leaves a potential of nearly 20% compared to the current price, but the gap with the previous (€40) reflects a significant revision of prospects. Conversely, CIC Market Solutions maintains its 'buy' rating with an unchanged target of €40. Based on the expected earnings per share, the stock is priced at about 3.7 times the results of the current fiscal year, according to the consensus of analysts surveyed.
The Stock Plunges Below Its Moving Averages Amid Persistent Selling Pressure
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Today's decline erases the nearly 4% surge recorded the previous day and brings the price back against its support at €25.08, tested in mid-June during the unprecedented low since 2022. The stock remains below its three moving averages, 5.24% below the MM20 (€26.91) and nearly 20% below the MM200 (€31.86), a configuration consistent with a 15.11% decline over three months. The RSI at 43 indicates neither oversold nor overbought conditions, leaving room for flows. According to reviewed statements, five funds cumulatively hold 5.47% of the capital sold short, slightly up (+0.32 point in a month).
This level, higher than the 3% threshold often considered significant, reflects marked institutional caution on the stock, without having prevented tactical rebounds observed in recent sessions. The commercial calendar remains promising: the group confirmed on Wednesday its position as number one in France for the first half of the year, but market share dynamics tapered off in June according to PFA figures. The support at €25.08 remains a technical reference to watch in the short term.
Renault Group délivre une performance robuste, confirme ses perspectives financières 2026 et met en œuvre avec rapidité futuREady
Croissance du chiffre d'affaires de 9,5 % portée par l'Automobile (26,8 Md€) et Mobilize Financial Services (3,4 Md€), marge opérationnelle du Groupe à 5,2 %, free cash-flow Automobile de 653 M€ incluant 250 M€ de dividendes de MFS, position financière nette positive de 6,6 Md€. Mix électrifié en Europe à 52,0 %, ventes électriques en hausse de 47,6 %. Perspectives 2026 confirmées dans un environnement difficile marqué par la crise au Moyen-Orient.
Risks mentioned
Crise au Moyen-Orient pesant sur les coûts de matières premières, d'énergie et de logistique
Environnement décrit comme difficile par le Groupe pour 2026
Effets de change négatifs : croissance de 9,5 % contre 10,3 % à change constant
Carnet de commandes en Europe limité à 2,1 mois de ventes prévisionnelles
Opportunities identified
Accélération de l'électrification : mix électrifié en Europe à 52,0 %, +8,2 points
Ventes de véhicules électriques en hausse de 47,6 %
Croissance à l'international : Inde +61,2 %, Turquie +15,4 %, Maroc +13,7 %, Brésil +5,3 %
Réduction des coûts variables d'environ 400 euros par véhicule et par an via futuREady
Ventes Alpine en hausse de 69,1 % par rapport au 1er semestre 2025
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
