Solvay's Stock Nears +4% Boost Due to a Strategic Rare Earth Agreement
This Monday noon, the Belgian chemist stands out on the Parisian market as one of the strongest risers in the SBF 120, regaining momentum after a tentative three-month trajectory following the announcement of a strategic partnership on rare earths.
A Memorandum of Understanding with Viridis to Secure Rare Earths from 2028
Solvay's stock is up 3.71% at €26.84 during the session, among the strongest rises in the SBF 120, while the broader index edges up by 0.10%. The group announced this Monday the signing of a memorandum of understanding with Viridis Mining and Minerals aimed at securing a strategic supply of rare earth raw materials starting from 2028. The two companies will now work towards finalizing a firm supply agreement. The industrial stakes are high: securing rare earth supplies remains a strategic challenge for European chemists, with several transformation stages predominantly concentrated outside of Asia. The session allows the stock to rise above its MM50 (€26.75), technically touching base, after having tested it several times in recent weeks.
The Stock Moves Above Its MM20 but Remains Below Its Long-Term Average at €27.03
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Today's rebound allows Solvay to move above its MM20 (€26.52), with a gap of 1.21%, while the MM200 at €27.03 remains slightly above the current price (gap of 0.70%). This long-term average has acted as a technical ceiling since the post-results downturn on May 7th, during which the stock lost 6.38% following the quarterly publication. Since then, the trajectory has remained tentative, with a decline of 3.18% over three months and 7% over a year. The RSI at 43 remains in a neutral zone, without excess, leaving room before testing the resistance identified at €28.86. The support at €25.30 was tested mid-May during the decline to €25.40. The next key event identified: the publication of the second-quarter results, expected this summer.
Challenging market environment, excluding potential recovery measures from Sadara, updated guidance reflects Middle East impact
Risks mentioned
Middle East conflict impact of approximately €-25 million on underlying EBITDA in Q3 2026
Continued shutdown of the Peroxide plant at the Sadara complex in Jubail, Saudi Arabia accounted for €-15 million in Q3 2026
Challenging market environment affecting Group performance in Q3 2026
Opportunities identified
Joint venture contractual framework includes mechanisms designed to recover lost profitability from Sadara shutdown
Group exploring all available avenues to mitigate financial impact of shutdown
Transformation program and focus on cash generation and cost savings targets
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 730 millions d'euros
Management commentary: In light of these developments, Solvay has reviewed its full-year 2026 guidance. Excluding potential revenue or recovery measures from Sadara for the remainder of 2026, the updated guidance is: Underlying EBITDA between €720 and €740 million
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