Solvay Shares Dip at Close Following Bernstein Downgrade
Solvay's stock price declined after Bernstein downgraded its rating from 'outperform' to 'market perform', adjusting its price target from 29 to 27 euros.
On Thursday, Bernstein lowered its recommendation for Solvay from 'outperform' to 'market perform', reducing its price target from 29 to 27 euros. The Belgian chemical group's stock ended the session at 27.06 euros, down 0.15% from the previous close of 27.1 euros. Trading volumes amounted to 0.35% of the capital, reflecting moderate activity in a cautious market. The broker expressed concerns that Solvay's dividend will not be covered by free cash flow by 2026, adding to worries about Chinese exports of soda ash reaching multi-year highs. The stock is now slightly below its 50-day moving average of 27.12 euros, indicating a first sign of technical weakness.
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Technically, Solvay's stock remains in a narrow consolidation zone, with an RSI at 53, indicating a neutral situation without overbuying or overselling. The price stays close to the Bollinger bands, fluctuating between a support at 26.50 euros and a resistance at 27.47 euros, indicating contained volatility in the short term. However, the 200-day moving average at 28.66 euros remains distant, highlighting the gap from long-term reference levels. Additionally, the ex-dividend date for the interim dividend is set for January 19, 2026, with payment scheduled two days later on January 21. The board of directors has approved the payment of a gross interim dividend of 0.97 euros per share, a stable amount compared to the previous year. This distribution comes at a time when the stock has declined 10.69% over the past year, despite a slight recovery of 0.67% over three months.
Challenging market environment, excluding potential recovery measures from Sadara, updated guidance reflects Middle East impact
Risks mentioned
Middle East conflict impact of approximately €-25 million on underlying EBITDA in Q3 2026
Continued shutdown of the Peroxide plant at the Sadara complex in Jubail, Saudi Arabia accounted for €-15 million in Q3 2026
Challenging market environment affecting Group performance in Q3 2026
Opportunities identified
Joint venture contractual framework includes mechanisms designed to recover lost profitability from Sadara shutdown
Group exploring all available avenues to mitigate financial impact of shutdown
Transformation program and focus on cash generation and cost savings targets
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 730 millions d'euros
Management commentary: In light of these developments, Solvay has reviewed its full-year 2026 guidance. Excluding potential revenue or recovery measures from Sadara for the remainder of 2026, the updated guidance is: Underlying EBITDA between €720 and €740 million
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.