Stellantis Shares Bounce Back 5% and Overtake Renault in the CAC 40
The Italo-American manufacturer is on the rise again mid-morning and is among the leaders of the CAC 40. The stock benefits from a well-oriented Paris session and attempts to extend the rebound that began at the end of last week, after several sessions of significant declines.
A Rebound of Over 4% Brings the Stock Back to its Short-Term Moving Averages
Stellantis stock is up 4.97% at €6.19 mid-morning, following a CAC 40 that is up 1.07%. The manufacturer ranks just behind Saint-Gobain (+5.44%), ahead of Renault (+4.25%), in a market buoyed by the easing of Brent crude (-3.48% at $84.29) following the framework agreement announced between Washington and Tehran concerning the Strait of Hormuz. The rebound extends that which began on Friday (+6%), after a bearish sequence that had brought the stock to its lows. However, the price remains 4.07% below its MM20 (€6.42) and 6.54% below its MM50 (€6.59), while the MM200 (€7.78) remains more than 20% distant. The RSI at 38 reflects the lack of sustained buying pressure, with the stock still down 8% over the month and 27% over the year.
Strategic Roadmap Still Under Debate Following the FaSTLAne Plan Unveiled in May
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The fundamental context remains marked by the presentation of the FaSTLAne 2030 strategic plan, unveiled on May 21 at Auburn Hills by Antonio Filosa. The group has committed €60 billion over five years to boost growth and profitability, focusing resources on brands and platforms deemed priorities. Since then, the group has multiplied operational announcements: a project for a small electric vehicle in Italy by 2028, a potential European joint venture with Dongfeng, partnerships on autonomous driving with Bolt and Pony.ai in Luxembourg, and the deployment of digital twins with Accenture and Nvidia. The period was also punctuated by a global recall of 1.3 million Jeep Wranglers and Gladiators due to a steering pump defect. In terms of valuation, the stock trades at approximately 7.3 times the earnings expected for the current fiscal year and 4 times those of the next fiscal year, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts. The technical support at €5.78 now forms the lower boundary of the channel, with resistance at €7.02 marking the next threshold above the short-term moving averages.
Le deuxième trimestre a été marqué par des progrès continus, portés par l'Amérique du Nord et soutenus par des contributions importantes de toutes les autres régions. Nous restons confiants dans la réalisation de nos prévisions financières 2026.
Les revenus nets progressent de 13 % à 43,5 milliards d'euros, tirés par l'Amérique du Nord (+32 %) et l'Amérique du Sud (+6 %), l'Europe élargie étant stable et le Moyen-Orient & Afrique ainsi que l'Asie-Pacifique en léger recul. Le résultat opérationnel ajusté atteint 0,8 milliard d'euros (marge de 1,8 %, +120 points de base), toutes les régions affichant une marge positive à l'exception de l'Europe élargie (-0,6 %). Le bénéfice net s'établit à 0,3 milliard d'euros et les flux de trésorerie disponibles industriels à 1,0 milliard d'euros, en amélioration de 1,0 milliard d'euros. La liquidité industrielle disponible s'élève à 44,1 milliards d'euros, soit 27 % des revenus nets des douze derniers mois. Part de marché de 7,4 % en Amérique du Nord (+40 pb), 16,0 % dans l'EU30 (-80 pb), 19,1 % en Amérique du Sud.
Risks mentioned
Impact net des droits de douane estimé entre 1,0 et 1,2 milliard d'euros en 2026
Marge opérationnelle ajustée négative en Europe élargie (-0,6 %)
Ventes en Asie-Pacifique en baisse de 29 %, tirées par le recul de la Peugeot 408
Environ 2 milliards d'euros de sorties de trésorerie liées aux charges du S2 2025
Opportunities identified
Plan stratégique FaSTLAne 2030 en cours de déploiement
Quatrième trimestre consécutif de croissance des ventes en Amérique du Nord
Leapmotor : ventes multipliées par six en Europe sur un an
Partenariat avec DFM pour développer des modèles Peugeot et Jeep en Chine
Lancement de la Leapmotor B10 prévu au T3 2026 et assemblage local en Malaisie
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