Teleperformance Shares Bounce 3.5%, but Short Sellers Hold On
Midday sees a notable rise in Teleperformance shares within a slightly advancing SBF 120. The stock climbs to the top of the broader index rankings after several weeks of significant undervaluation. However, the bearish bet on the capital remains firmly in place and continues to grow.
A Rebound that Softens the Monthly Decline but Doesn't Erase the Annual Discount
Teleperformance shares gain 3.34% to €51.94, marking one of the strongest increases in the SBF 120 this Friday, July 10. This movement mitigates the monthly decline, which remains significant at nearly 10%, while the annual performance is still heavily negative at -41.48%. Over three months, the stock now limits its gain to 4.65%. Today's rebound occurs in a market cautiously trending upwards, with the CAC 40 up 0.17% and the SBF 120 up 0.19%, while the VIX drops nearly 6% to 15.91. Despite this breath of fresh air, the stock remains below its three key moving averages (MM20 at €58.12, MM50 at €60.73, MM200 at €58.67), with a gap close to 11% to the MM200. The RSI at 36 indicates the exhaustion of sellers over the past weeks, without yet signaling a clear turnaround. The resistance at €75.64 remains out of reach in the short term, while the recently broken support at €53.06 now acts as an immediate ceiling. According to the consensus of surveyed analysts, the stock is trading at about 3.9 times the earnings expected for the current fiscal year and 3.7 times those of the next year, a valuation level that reflects the persistent market distrust in the stock.
Bearish Bet on Capital Continues to Grow, Reaching 11.85%
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Selling pressure remains a notable feature of the stock. According to reviewed statements, nine funds accumulate a net short position of 11.85% of the capital, an increase of 1.49 points over thirty days (from 10.36% a month ago). This high level for an SBF 120 stock reflects a settled distrust from institutional investors positioned against the stock or looking to hedge a sectoral exposure. The gradual increase in combined exposure over the past month suggests that today's rebound has not yet convinced short sellers to withdraw, without necessarily indicating a clear signal on the price trajectory. The technical rebound today gives the stock some breathing room, but the gap to the MM200 (€58.67) remains a parameter to watch to gauge the strength of the recovery. The next step will be the reconquest, or not, of the support-turned-resistance at €53.06.
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Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
Le troisième trimestre 2025 s’est globalement inscrit dans la continuité du premier semestre et a démontré la résilience de LanguageLine Solutions.
Chiffre d'affaires 9M 2025 de 7 623 millions d’euros (+ 1,5 % à données comparables). Core services porteurs (+ 3,2 % à données comparables sur 9M). Impact négatif des changes et non-renouvellement d’un contrat significatif sur les services spécialisés. Déploiement accéléré des solutions IA et création d’un Value Creation Office.
Risks mentioned
Volatilité de l'environnement commercial aux États-Unis affectant les services d'interprétariat (LanguageLine Solutions)
Non-renouvellement d’un contrat significatif dans la gestion des demandes de visa (TLScontact)
Impact négatif significatif des variations de change (appréciation de l’euro)
Hyperinflation en Argentine et en Turquie (application IAS 29) affectant la comparabilité
Opportunities identified
Déploiement de TP.ai FAB et solutions augmentées par l'IA (plus de 400 nouveaux projets d’IA sur 9M 2025)
Montée en puissance des solutions de back-office et services de données liés à l'IA
Création du Value Creation Office pour accélérer la transformation et améliorer l'efficacité opérationnelle
Croissance attendue en Inde et en Amérique latine pour les solutions BPO et domestiques
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
