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TotalEnergies Shares Drop by 4%, the Worst Performer in a Rebounding CAC 40

The French oil major tumbles mid-session, weighed down by a drop in crude oil prices following de-escalation signals in the Middle East. The stock breaks through a closely watched technical support as the CAC 40 soars, in a marked sectoral pivot.


TotalEnergies Shares Drop by 4%, the Worst Performer in a Rebounding CAC 40

A 4% Drop Isolates TotalEnergies in an Euphoric CAC 40

TotalEnergies shares fall by 4.09% to €74.81, marking the steepest decline in the CAC 40, which nonetheless gains 1.86% to 8,353 points. The contrast is striking at the top of the board, where Société Générale, Stellantis, and Kering are up more than 5%. The downturn originates from the crude market: Brent crude plummets by 5.17% to $88.29/barrel following Donald Trump's announcement of the cancellation of planned strikes against Iran and the mention of a possible peace deal this weekend.

This retreat erases some of the geopolitical risk premium built up over the past weeks. The sector takes a collective hit: Shell drops 3.38% in London. The session highlights the French oil company's sensitivity to barrel price fluctuations, as previously documented by a similar geopolitical trading shift at the end of May.

The €75.18 Support Breached During the Session, with the MM200 Still a Distant Cushion

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The decline breaches the €75.18 support, broken in the morning, with the stock touching €74.62 before a slight rebound to €74.81. This break occurs as the price significantly falls below its 20 and 50-day moving averages (around €77.60, a gap of approximately -3.6%), indicating a reversal in short-term momentum. The RSI at 52 remains neutral, reflecting a sharp but not extreme movement, while the MM200, at €63.22, is well below the current price, which is about 18% higher.

Over one year, the performance remains close to 40%, and the stock trades at about 7.6 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year according to the consensus of surveyed analysts. Traders will keep an eye on Brent's movements in the coming sessions to determine if the €75 zone turns into new resistance or if a technical rebound kicks in.



Sector Energie · Pétrole et gaz intégrés Pétrole et gaz intégrés


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Context

Period
  • Period: 1T2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 5394M$
  • EBITDA: 12552M$
  • Net income: 5810M$
  • Free cash flow: 8600M$
Guidance from the release
  • Portée par une croissance organique de sa production de 4 % sur un an.
  • TotalEnergies affiche des résultats en forte hausse au premier trimestre 2026.
Risks mentioned
  • Conflit au Moyen-Orient affectant la production.
  • Augmentation du besoin en fonds de roulement de 5,1 G$.
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance organique de production de 4 %.
  • Finalisation de la fusion de ses actifs au Royaume-Uni.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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