Valneva Shares Under Pressure Ahead of Quarterly Results, Down 47% in 3 Months
The stock of the Nantes-based vaccine specialist continues its slide this Tuesday, May 5th. Valneva is down by 2.62% at €2.196 in mid-morning trading, while the CAC 40 index is up by 0.62% during the session. The stock is now trading below the lower boundary of its Bollinger Bands, two days before the release of its first-quarter results.
Valneva is set to publish its first-quarter 2026 results on Thursday, May 7th, followed by a second financial communication on May 13th. At the end of April, the biotech completed a private placement of €84 million, with €37 million received at closing and up to €47 million contingent on the exercise of subscription warrants. This operation weighed on the stock price, which broke its support at €2.32 on Monday. Beyond the quarterly release, the schedule includes participation in the Bernstein European Small & Mid-Cap Conference on May 21st, and the annual general meeting on June 1st. Fundamentally, during the first nine months of 2025, the company had targeted a 2025 revenue between €155 and €170 million, dependent on the delivery schedule of the chikungunya vaccine active substance to low and middle-income countries. The company also cited the suspension of the IXCHIQ license in the United States by the FDA as a risk, impacting the travelers' segment.
The Stock Breaks Below the Lower Bollinger Band
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At €2.196, Valneva is trading below the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands set at €2.22, a configuration that indicates an acceleration of selling pressure beyond the usual standard deviation. The RSI has fallen to 27, in a pronounced oversold territory. The price is also well below the 50-day moving average (€3.52) and the 200-day moving average (€3.88), confirming a medium-term bearish trend. Over three months, the stock has lost 47.36%. The break of the support at €2.32 has pushed the price towards the residual threshold of €2.26, opening a technical space without recent graphical reference.
SectorPharmacie et biotechnologies›Vaccins et laboratoires de recherche
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 65,8 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 65,8 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -32,6 %
EBITDA: -39,8 millions d'euros
Net income: -63,3 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Malgré l'impact négatif persistant du contexte géopolitique sur les voyages, Valneva a confirmé ses perspectives pour 2026
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif persistant du contexte géopolitique sur les voyages affectant les ventes de produits
Dépendance commerciale élevée envers les livraisons d'IXIARO au Département américain de la Défense avec calendrier incertain
Recentrage stratégique d'IXCHIQ sur les marchés endémiques affectant les perspectives commerciales du vaccin contre le chikungunya
Opportunities identified
Décisions réglementaires attendues pour le candidat vaccin LB6V contre la maladie de Lyme dans les 12 prochains mois
Amélioration attendue des marges brutes au second semestre après impact d'éléments non récurrents au S1 2026
Bénéfices futurs de l'initiative de restructuration visant à réduire la consommation de trésorerie et optimiser les opérations
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 147,5 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.