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Verallia Stock Rebounds by 2.77% at Close, a Technical Recovery

The stock of French glassmaker Verallia closed the session on Thursday, November 13, with a rise of 2.77% at 23.72 euros, while the CAC 40 ended in the red at minus 0.11%. This increase occurs in a context of low trading with only 0.05% of the capital changing hands. The stock benefits from a weekly recovery after several challenging weeks, marked by a downward revision of the group's annual outlook at the end of October.


Verallia Stock Rebounds by 2.77% at Close, a Technical Recovery

A Rebound Amid Fragile Annual and Quarterly Performances

The European glass packaging specialist rebounded this Thursday, closing at 23.72 euros compared to 23.08 euros the previous day. Over the week, the stock now shows a gain of 3.31%, signaling a rebound after several difficult sessions. However, this improvement should be viewed in light of the more fragile quarterly and annual performances. Over the last three months, Verallia's stock has declined by 15.89% while it has corrected by 9.67% over the year, a marked underperformance compared to the CAC 40's gain of 13.91% over the same period. The particularly low trading volumes this Thursday, with only 0.05% of capital turnover, indicate sluggish activity on the stock. The absence of immediate catalysts makes the session's progress even more notable. In the absence of recent company announcements or analyst recommendations in the last 48 hours, the movement seems primarily linked to technical factors and a catch-up following the publication of third-quarter results at the end of October, which had caused a sharp drop in the stock.

Technical Indicators Show Slight Improvement

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Technically, Verallia is now slightly above its 50-day moving average, set at 23.15 euros, a level that acts as short-term support. This slightly bullish position is a positive signal after several weeks below this trend line. The MACD indicator, used to detect trend reversals, is beginning to show signs of improvement with a MACD line at minus 0.06 approaching its signal line at minus 0.14, and a positive MACD histogram at 0.07, confirming a possible beginning of momentum recovery. The RSI, or Relative Strength Index, is at 51, a neutral level indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutrality suggests there is still room for short-term progress. The price also moves above the lower Bollinger band set at 22.01 euros and is testing the technical resistance at 23.84 euros. The monthly volatility of 7.69% remains high, reflecting still erratic price movements, while the CMF at 0.06 indicates a slightly positive cash flow.

Fundamental Context Remains Challenging for Verallia

However, the fundamental context remains challenging for Verallia. On October 22, the group announced a downward revision of its 2025 outlook, now targeting an adjusted EBITDA of about 700 million euros compared to the initially expected 800 million. The third-quarter 2025 revenue declined by 2.8% to 846 million euros, affected by a slowdown in glass demand in August and September. This deterioration in market conditions has weighed on the stock since the end of October, with the stock losing more than 15% over three months. By midday, investors seem to be regaining some interest in the stock, taking advantage of a valuation that has become more attractive after recent corrections. The 200-day moving average, located at 26.83 euros, remains a distant target, illustrating the extent of the journey to regain early-year levels. As Verallia awaits the presentation of its medium-term strategy during a Capital Markets Day in January 2026, it navigates an uncertain market environment. Notably, in recent days, there have been 4 purchases by executives amounting to a significant total of over 4.6 million euros.



Sector Emballage, papier, bois › Emballage verre


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 1 699 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 1 699 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: -1,4 %
  • EBITDA: 285,8 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 20,7 %
  • Net income: 25,3 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 102 millions d'euros
  • 1 779 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • réaffirme ses perspectives 2026
Risks mentioned
  • Baisse attendue de l'activité en Allemagne
  • Baisse des prix de vente pesant sur le chiffre d'affaires
  • Détérioration possible de la situation au Moyen-Orient, condition des objectifs 2026
Opportunities identified
  • Premiers effets positifs des plans d'optimisation de l'empreinte industrielle
  • Croissance des volumes dans la plupart des pays
  • Amélioration séquentielle de la marge d'EBITDA (19,9 % au T1 2026 à 21,4 % au T2)
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected EBITDA: 700 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: Sous réserve de l'absence d'une détérioration significative de la situation au Moyen-Orient, Verallia réaffirme ses perspectives 2026, en particulier : un EBITDA ajusté d'environ 700 M€ et un free cash-flow d'environ 220 M€ (hors décaissements liés au projet d'adaptation de l'empreinte industrielle du Groupe)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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