Vicat's Stock Soars 7% and Crosses a Key Technical Threshold
The stock of the Isère-based cement company Vicat rose by 7% this Wednesday morning to 66.40 euros, driven by a sharp rebound in European markets. This increase comes after several weeks of decline, with the stock still showing a 15% drop over three months. The general meeting scheduled for April 10 and the publication of the first quarter revenue on May 4 are the next key events to watch.
The CAC 40 is up by 4.28% during the session, at 8,246.90 points, following the announcement of a ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The prospect of reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global energy trade, triggered a general relief movement across European markets. The SBF 120, which includes Vicat, is up by 4.20% at the same time. Vicat is benefiting from this widespread bullish momentum, similar to that seen in other industrial companies: Schneider Electric is up 8.21% and Airbus has gained 6.33%. For an energy-intensive group like Vicat, whose cement kilns are highly dependent on fuel costs, the 15% drop in Brent crude — falling below $100 per barrel — is a favorable factor for future operational margins. However, the very low beta of the stock (0.21) highlights that this magnitude of increase is unusual for a stock historically less correlated with general market movements.
Technical Analysis Indicates Potential Overbuy
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Technically, the price of 66.20 euros is now above the upper Bollinger Band, set at 65.29 euros, indicating a potential short-term overbuy signal. This situation reflects a sudden move beyond the usual statistical fluctuation zone, often followed by a consolidation phase. The stock also crossed above its 200-day moving average (66.00 euros), a significant technical threshold. However, it remains well below its 50-day moving average, located at 69.73 euros, which acts as the next intermediate resistance zone. The major resistance is at 75.20 euros. The financial calendar includes the general meeting the day after tomorrow, April 10, followed by the publication of quarterly revenue in early May, two events that could guide the stock's trajectory in the coming weeks.
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Context
Period
Period: 1S2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 2036M€
EBITDA: 367M€
EBITDA margin: 18,0%
Net income: 133M€
Free cash flow: -36M€
1327M€
Guidance from the release
Une nouvelle fois, le Groupe livre de solides résultats, portés par des hausses de prix dans la quasi-totalité des géographies, la confirmation de la reprise des volumes aux États-Unis et la très bonne dynamique des pays émergents.
Vicat affiche une croissance organique du chiffre d'affaires de +10,8 % (+8,0 % en publié, effet de change défavorable de -69 M€) et un EBITDA en hausse de +13,6 % à périmètre et change constants, avec une marge portée à 18,0 %. La performance est tirée par l'Afrique (Sénégal, four 6), le Brésil, l'Égypte et le Kazakhstan, tandis que l'Europe reste résiliente et que les États-Unis et l'Inde reculent en rentabilité. Le cash-flow libre est négatif à -36 M€ du fait de la saisonnalité et du besoin en fonds de roulement, mais l'endettement net baisse sur un an à 1 327 M€ (leverage 1,65x). Les objectifs 2026 sont relevés.
Risks mentioned
Hausse des coûts de l'énergie devant se matérialiser davantage au second semestre
Effets de change défavorables (dollar, roupie indienne, livres turque et égyptienne)
Visibilité limitée aux États-Unis et en Inde, prix volatils et concurrence tendue
Contexte géopolitique au Moyen-Orient pouvant affecter l'activité et la logistique
Opportunities identified
Contribution en année pleine du four 6 au Sénégal améliorant les coûts de production
Hausses de prix annoncées aux États-Unis à compter de l'été
Acquisition d'Araïko renforçant les capacités en intelligence artificielle industrielle
Demande liée aux data centers dans le Sud-Est des États-Unis
Projet Catch4climate : démarrage du démonstrateur oxyfuel de seconde génération
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.