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Last updated : 15/09/2026 - 17h35
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Dassault Aviation Shares Rise 2.59% at Close, Bucking CAC 40 Trend

Dassault Aviation's stock ended the trading session on Tuesday, December 9, 2025, with a notable increase of 2.59%, closing at 277 euros compared to 270 euros the previous day, albeit in a trading volume limited to 0.06% of the capital. This advance contrasts with the CAC 40's decline of 0.69%, which settled at 8,052.51 points. The aerospace manufacturer continues a promising weekly rebound, showing a 4.29% increase over seven days.


Dassault Aviation Shares Rise 2.59% at Close, Bucking CAC 40 Trend

Short-Term Positive Dynamics for the French Group

This performance is part of a positive short-term dynamic for the French group, driven by a series of successive gains since the beginning of the month. Over three months, the stock has recorded an increase of 2.14%, while over a year, the rise reaches 43.37%, significantly outperforming the CAC 40, which only shows an increase of 8.42% over the same period. The current price of 277 euros moves between a support threshold identified at 263.60 euros and a resistance at 286.80 euros, suggesting a technical leeway of nearly 10 euros upwards. The traded volumes remain modest, reflecting a low turnover of capital in a context where institutional investors dominate the group's shareholding. This restricted liquidity sometimes amplifies short-term movements, both upwards and downwards. The one-month volatility, measured at 7.56, indicates a stock that remains sensitive to sporadic order flows, in the absence of major informational catalysts at the end of the year.

Technical Aspects of the Stock

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Technically, the RSI is at 36, which is in neutral territory but close to the oversold zone, suggesting that the stock is not yet in an overheating phase after this recent rebound. The MACD, currently at -1.70 with a signal line at -1.79, shows a slight positive crossover with a histogram at 0.09, which can be interpreted as a nascent recovery signal after a consolidation phase. This crossover occurs in a context where the price remains under pressure compared to its medium and long-term moving averages. Indeed, Dassault Aviation is still below its 200-day moving average, located at 289.83 euros, marking a gap of more than 12 euros. This gap illustrates the distance still separating the stock from its levels last autumn. The 50-day moving average, positioned at 275.93 euros, has just been crossed upwards, which could be a first technical reversal signal if the movement is confirmed.

Solid Fundamental Context for the Group

The fundamental context of the group remains strong, supported by a record order book of 48.3 billion euros as of June 30, 2025, including 239 Rafales and 75 Falcons. The outlook for 2025 anticipates a turnover of about 6.5 billion euros, up from 2024. In the medium term, investors continue to monitor the execution of Rafale deliveries, whose production rate is expected to gradually reach three and then four aircraft per month by 2027-2029, as well as the evolution of Falcon activity in a recovering business jet market. The low correlation to the CAC 40, measured by a beta of -0.03, reminds us that Dassault Aviation's stock moves according to its own dynamics, largely disconnected from the movements of the Parisian index.



Sector Aéronautique et Défense Aéronautique / spatiale


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 45,7 %
  • Net income: 361,6 millions d'euros
  • -10 099 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • La guidance 2026 est inchangée : chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse
Risks mentioned
  • Carnet de commandes en léger repli (45,4 Md€ vs 46,6 Md€) malgré la livraison de 23 Falcon au S1 2026
  • Arrêt du programme SCAF/NGF en coopération franco-allemande, avec alternative à définir
  • Réduction des prises de commandes Défense (1 024 M€ vs 7 172 M€) liée à l'absence de nouvelle grande commande Rafale
Opportunities identified
  • Accélération de la livraison de Rafale Export : 12 Rafale livrées au S1 2026 (10 Export + 2 France) vs 7 au S1 2025
  • Négociation pour contrat de 114 Rafale avec l'Inde (Decision d'entrer en négociation gré à gré)
  • Programme Falcon 10X en phase d'essais en vol depuis juin 2026, entrée en service prévue 2029
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 8 500 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse par rapport à celui de 2025, classe 8,5 milliards d'euros (dont la livraison de 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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