Nexity Shares Drop Below €8.50: A Technical Threshold That Raises Concerns
The real estate developer's stock significantly declined this Monday, amidst a general downturn in the Paris market. The CAC 40 is down 0.87% during the session, while the SBF 120 also dips in similar proportions. The release of the first quarter 2026 business activity, scheduled for April 23, is the next key event for the stock.
Nexity shares are trading at €8.40 at midday, down 2.15% from last Friday's close of €8.59. This decline follows a slightly negative week, with a decrease of 0.41% over seven days. Over three months, the contraction reaches 3.84%, and over a year, the stock shows a decline of 4.44%. The market context weighs on the entire Parisian market this Monday. The CAC 40 drops 0.87% in session, below 8,200 points. Other stocks related to the construction and infrastructure sector are also falling: Vinci is down 1.29% and Schneider Electric drops 0.54%. The announcement of a U.S. naval blockade against Iran, with direct repercussions on oil prices — Brent crude going back above $100 a barrel — fuels a general cautious climate on European markets.
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Technically, Nexity's stock price is currently below its 50-day moving average at €8.55, indicating short-term bearish pressure. This indicator, which smooths out daily variations over about two months, signals that the stock struggles to regain an upward momentum. The 200-day moving average, positioned at €9.31, remains well above the current price, confirming a long-term downward trend. The RSI is at 55, in a neutral zone, indicating neither overbuying nor overselling at this stage. The next catalyst identified for the stock is the release of the first quarter 2026 commercial activity and revenue, scheduled for April 23. This event will be followed by the annual general meeting planned for May 21. The nearest technical support threshold is at €7.73, while resistance is positioned at €9.54, allowing significant price variation around the current level.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Opérateurs immobiliers›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
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