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Abivax Climbs 2.69% on Wednesday, Boosted by Target Revisions and Acquisition Rumors

On Wednesday, January 14th, Abivax's stock price increased by 2.69% to 106.80 euros, driven by course target revisions and unconfirmed speculations about a 15 billion euro offer from Eli Lilly, as reported by La Lettre.


Abivax Climbs 2.69% on Wednesday, Boosted by Target Revisions and Acquisition Rumors

Short-Term Bullish Momentum Confirmed

Abivax's stock price is now above its 50-day moving average, set at 102.21 euros, confirming a short-term bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 remains in a neutral zone, showing no immediate signs of overheating, while the stock price is still below the major resistance at 122.40 euros. This dynamic follows a remarkable quarterly performance of 30.09% and an annual increase of 1,642%, placing the stock among the highest gains in Europe for 2025. The company has benefited from a series of positive course target revisions by several banks, including Leerink Partners at 138 euros, Piper Sandler at 142 euros, and Truist Securities at 140 euros, all published last December. On the technical side, the MACD Histogram at -1.37 indicates a slowdown in bullish momentum, while trading volumes remain contained at 0.06% of capital, reflecting investor caution. The Bollinger Bands frame the stock between 89.44 and 125.82 euros, suggesting that the price remains within a normal volatility range. The immediate support is at 93.30 euros, a level that would serve as a floor in case of a correction.

Potential Acquisition by Eli Lilly

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According to a report by the French media outlet La Lettre published on January 12, Eli Lilly is working on a potential 15 billion euro operation to acquire the French biotech. This information, not confirmed by either company, caused an initial surge in the stock, which opened up 17.5% at 120 euros before surpassing 132 euros during the session. However, Abivax's shares pared their gains after the French Ministry of Finance stated that it had not been contacted by Eli Lilly regarding a possible offer. These rumors are part of a broader trend of major pharmaceutical companies' appetite for assets specialized in inflammatory bowel diseases. Recent transactions in this sector include Merck's acquisition of Prometheus for 10.8 billion dollars, Roche's purchase of Telavant for 7.1 billion, and Eli Lilly's acquisition of Morphic for 3.2 billion. Additionally, on January 7th, Abivax announced it is expecting the full results of its phase 3 maintenance trial for obefazimod by the end of the second quarter of 2026, with a planned submission for marketing authorization in the United States by the end of 2026.



Sector Santé · Biotechnologies · Pharmacie Biotechnologie


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Trésorerie et équivalents de trésorerie de 589,7 millions d'euros au 30/09/2025 ; perte nette de 254,1 millions d'euros sur les neuf mois ; produit net d'ADS d'environ 700,3 millions de dollars (?597,2 M€) en juillet 2025 ; position financière nette de 543,3 millions d'euros ; autonomie financière attendue jusqu'au T4 2027. Hausse significative des dépenses R&D et des charges G&A.
Risks mentioned
  • Risques inhérents à la recherche et au développement clinique
  • Risque lié aux décisions des autorités réglementaires (FDA, EMA)
  • Risque de disponibilité insuffisante de fonds pour couvrir les dépenses d'exploitation futures
  • Obstacles potentiels au développement clinique et pharmaceutique (données précliniques, CMC, toxicologie, etc.)
Opportunities identified
  • Avancement des essais de phase 3 d'Obefazimod en rectocolite hémorragique
  • Présentations 'late-breaking' et résultats favorables communiqués lors de congrès scientifiques
  • Produit net élevé de l'offre d'ADS prolongeant l'autonomie financière jusqu'au T4 2027

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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