ADP Stock Drops 8.26% to Below €100 After Quarterly Results
Aéroports de Paris stock plunges by 8.26% to €99.45 in late afternoon trading on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, marking one of the steepest declines in the SBF 120 index. The price suddenly falls below the psychological threshold of €100. Additionally, Jefferies adjusted its target for the stock on the same day.
On Wednesday, Jefferies lowered its price target on ADP from €126 to €121, accompanying its rating with a 'hold' recommendation. At the current price of €99.45, the new target theoretically offers a 21.7% margin over the market price. The analyst's move follows the announcement of the first quarter 2026 revenue, which amounted to €1,472 million, down 0.9% year-over-year. The group's traffic increased by 2.3% during the period, but commercial and international activities were impacted by the conflict in the Middle East. The next financial calendar event is the general meeting on May 21, 2026.
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Technically, today's drop has pushed the stock below the lower boundary of its Bollinger Bands. The price at €99.45 has fallen below the lower limit set at €102.04, indicating a potential oversold condition. The support threshold identified at €103.00 was also breached during the session. The RSI at 48 remains in the neutral zone, contrasting with the magnitude of today's drop. The one-month volatility is measured at 8.00. Over seven days, ADP has lost 10.97%, and 9.76% over three months. Among European peers, Getlink is down 1.62% and Alstom by 0.12% during the session, in a CAC 40 that is down by 0.33%. The next important date to watch for this stock is the general meeting on May 21.
SectorInfrastructures · Transports›Services de Transport
Context
Period
Period: 2025
Key reported figures
Revenue: 6 704 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 8,9 %
EBITDA: 2 322 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 34,6 %
Net income: 382 millions d'euros
Net debt: 8 625 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,00 €
Payout ratio: 60,0 %
Guidance from the release
L’année 2025 a été marquée par l’impulsion d’une nouvelle dynamique au sein du Groupe ADP et l’amorce d’une transformation structurelle de notre modèle.
Résultats annuels 2025 : chiffre d’affaires de 6 704 millions d’euros, EBITDA courant de 2 322 millions d’euros, RNPG de 382 millions d’euros; dette nette de 8 625 millions d’euros et dividende proposé de 3,00 euros par action. Le groupe atteint ses objectifs 2025 et prévoit une distribution de dividendes conforme à 60% du RNPG.
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: supérieur à 2 350 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Pour 2026, l’EBITDA courant est attendu au-delà de 2 350 millions d’euros; le ratio Dette Nette / EBITDA courant visé est inférieur ou égal à 3,7x; capex autour de 1 450 millions d’euros, dont environ 1 000 millions pour ADP SA; politique de distribution de dividendes à 60% du résultat net part du groupe avec un plancher de 3,00 euros par action; trafic attendu en croissance autour de 1,5% à 2,5% et CA par Pax Extime Paris supérieur à 32 euros.
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