On Thursday midday, Air France-KLM's stock declined by 2.02%, trading at 9.906 euros on Euronext Paris. The airline has lost nearly 5% over the past seven days and is now trading well below the symbolic 10 euro threshold. This drop is part of a broader weakness in the CAC 40, which is down 0.38% during the session.
Today, Air France-KLM's stock price is significantly below its three key moving averages: the 20-day moving average at 11.53 euros, the 50-day at 11.38 euros, and the 200-day at 11.28 euros. This gap indicates a bearish momentum that has been established for several weeks, with the stock having lost 7.33% over three months. The price is approaching a support level identified at 9.70 euros, a level whose maintenance could prove crucial in the short term. The RSI, an indicator measuring the speed of price movements, is at 26, indicating an oversold condition. This level suggests that selling pressure is significantly dominating and that the stock is far from any technical equilibrium. Over one year, the performance remains negative at -4.47%, confirming the downward trajectory of the stock.
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The next major event for the group is scheduled for April 30 with the publication of the first quarter 2026 results, followed by the annual general meeting on June 3. These dates will be important milestones to assess the operational trajectory of the airline and the robustness of its accounts after the winter season, which is traditionally less profitable for air transport. The general stock market context remains hesitant this Thursday. The DAX is down 0.10% in session, while the FTSE 100 is down 0.34%. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 closed down 1.04% and the Hang Seng ended 0.70% lower. In this unfavorable environment for cyclical stocks, Air France-KLM is showing a monthly volatility of 21.06%, illustrating the magnitude of recent fluctuations around a downward trend.
“Au troisième trimestre, Air France-KLM a une nouvelle fois démontré sa résilience dans un environnement toujours exigeant.”
Chiffre d’affaires en croissance, marge opérationnelle stable au T3 à 13,1 %, amélioration de la génération de trésorerie sur neuf mois, baisse du prix du carburant et renouvellement de flotte soutenant la performance.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif de la taxe de solidarité sur les billets d’avion (TSBA) sur la recette unitaire
Hausse des redevances aéroportuaires à Schiphol (impact significatif sur coûts et recettes)
Pression sur les yields en cabine Economy et concurrence accrue pour Transavia aux Pays-Bas
Retards et opérations de maintenance affectant la capacité cargo
Opportunities identified
Renouvellement de la flotte (augmentation de la part d'appareils nouvelle génération) améliorant l'efficience carburant
Bonne performance des cabines Premium soutenant les yields réseau passage
Croissance de l'activité Maintenance et carnet de commandes MRO élevé (10,4 Mds $)
Acquisition d'une participation dans WestJet renforçant la présence nord-américaine et les partenariats commerciaux
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Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
