ArcelorMittal Shares Dip 2.8% at the Close of January 8 Despite Morgan Stanley Upgrade
ArcelorMittal's stock ended the session on Thursday, January 8, at 40.26 euros, down by 2.8% from the previous day's close of 41.42 euros, after three consecutive sessions of gains that had pushed the price up by 3.17% over seven days. Trading volumes remained low with only 0.21% of the capital traded during the day. This pause comes amid outstanding performance: the stock has jumped 21.52% over three months and 88.66% over a year. This correction runs counter to the upgrade by Morgan Stanley the previous day, which changed the stock's rating from 'equal-weight' to 'overweight' and raised its price target from 33.70 euros to 46.20 euros. The upgrade is based on the belief that the European steel market is undergoing structural changes favorable to local producers, with defense mechanisms for the European steel sector proposed by the European Commission, potentially allowing ArcelorMittal to increase the utilization rate of its factories in Europe around 65% and to boost its steel exports by about 10% in the short term. The target of 46.20 euros represents an upside potential of 14.7% from the closing price.
Technically, the stock is performing well above its key moving averages, with a 50-day moving average at 36.39 euros and a 200-day moving average at 30.19 euros, indicating a strong underlying bullish trend. The RSI stands at 67, approaching the overbought threshold of 70, suggesting a still favorable momentum but necessitating consolidation to prevent overheating. The resistance threshold broken the previous day at 41.42 euros now serves as a level to watch, while the support lies at 35.14 euros. The announcement of the annual results for 2025 is scheduled for February 6, 2026, a date that the market is eagerly anticipating to confirm the group's strategic investments. This upcoming announcement will be a major test to validate the structural recovery scenario anticipated by analysts and could fuel new dynamics in the stock in the coming weeks.