Dassault Aviation Shares Slip Below €300, Testing a Major Technical Threshold
Dassault Aviation falls 2.41% this Friday morning to €299.80, in a sharply declining Paris market. The stock is extending a bearish sequence that started several sessions ago, with a decline of over 8% in seven days. This price level brings the aircraft manufacturer close to its 200-day moving average, a closely watched technical threshold.
Dassault Aviation's share price is now at €299.80, below the lower Bollinger band set at €303.12. This move constitutes a potential overselling technical signal, indicating that the stock is significantly deviating from its recent trend. The RSI, at 37, supports this interpretation as it approaches the overselling zone, traditionally located below the threshold of 30. Moreover, the stock is trading well below its 20-day (€323.99) and 50-day (€332.93) moving averages, while remaining close to the 200-day average (€296.25), which could act as a technical floor in the short term. This movement occurs in a context of generalized weakness of the CAC 40, which is down 1.07% during the session. Airbus also falls by 2.78%, illustrating selling pressure on the aerospace and defense sector this Friday morning.
Positive Analyst Outlook Amid Market Challenges
Free · Every morning
Technical market signals, before the opening bell.
Bullish and bearish momentum, analyst changes, stocks to watch — automatically computed from Euronext data.
✓ Before 9 AM every morning✓ Euronext data✓ AI-powered analysis
Almost there! Check your inbox.
A confirmation email has been sent. Click the link to confirm your subscription.
An error occurred.
Indicative data. No investment advice. Unsubscribe at any time.
Two days before this session's decline, Jefferies bank reaffirmed its 'buy' recommendation on Dassault Aviation, raising its price target from €400 to €420. At the current price of €299.80, this target implies a revaluation potential of over 40%, an unusually wide gap that reflects the analyst's confidence in the fundamental trajectory of the group. The financial calendar's next milestones are the general meeting of shareholders scheduled for May 13, followed by the publication of the first semester results on July 22. These events could provide more visibility on the order book and operational dynamics of the aircraft manufacturer, in a context of increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that currently weigh on all European markets. Over one year, the stock shows a limited decline of 0.46%, but the loss reaches 10.29% over three months, indicating a recent acceleration of the correction.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
