Capgemini share bounces back 2% against the grain of a declining CAC 40
Capgemini is resisting the prevailing gloom and stands among the rare securities to post significant gains this Thursday in a slightly declining CAC 40. The stock's rebound contrasts with the dominant bearish movement on the Paris exchange, driven notably by the decline in luxury stocks.
A 2% rebound that places the stock back in the CAC 40 upper tier
Capgemini gains 2.09% to €107.30 in trading, while the CAC 40 loses 0.34%. This rebound occurs in a market environment under pressure, with rising sovereign yields (the 10-year British gilt approached 5.27%, a record since 2008, and the 10-year US rate is nearing 4.8%), and military escalation in the Middle East pushing Brent above $95 per barrel. In this environment, Capgemini's outperformance remains notable. Over one month, the stock has recovered nearly 4.7%, and over three months, it shows a gain of 6.45%.
The annual performance remains negative, however, at -9.15%. Over the week, the movement is nearly flat (+0.75%), which underscores that the bulk of the monthly rebound was built progressively. On the analyst consensus front, no consensus revision is available at this stage in today's data.
Short positions in sharp decline and valuation regaining appeal
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The technical configuration remains mixed. The stock is below its 20-day moving average (€108.28), with a gap of -0.91%, and also remains below the 200-day MA at €111.59 (gap of -3.84%). Conversely, it holds clearly above its 50-day MA at €99.75, with a gap of +7.57%, which reflects still-positive medium-term momentum. The RSI at 49 remains neutral, with no overbought or oversold signals. The resistance to watch is at €111.40, a level the stock has not yet recovered since its annual decline.
Moreover, net short positions declared on the capital have contracted significantly: three funds now account for 1.78% of the capital sold short, compared to 3.05% thirty days ago, a contraction of 1.27 percentage points. This decline indicates that participants initially positioned bearishly have reduced their exposure, although no precise intention can be inferred. Finally, based on the analyst consensus surveyed, the stock trades at approximately 8.5 times current fiscal year earnings and 7.8 times the following fiscal year's earnings, with EPS growth expected at +8.2% from one fiscal year to the next. The €111.40 resistance constitutes the next threshold to overcome for the monthly trend to continue.
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Context
Period
Period: T3 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 6 073 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 6 073 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 12,6 %
Guidance from the release
« Forts de ce trimestre, nous relevons notre objectif de croissance du chiffre d'affaires pour 2026, désormais compris entre +9,0 % et +9,5 % à taux de change constants, tout en confirmant nos objectifs de marge opérationnelle et de free cash flow organique. »
Opportunities identified
Demande croissante pour la transformation des entreprises par l'IA agentique
Modernisation de l'infrastructure technologique et déploiement du nouveau stack technologique
Opportunités dans le secteur de la défense et autour des enjeux de souveraineté
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 24 543 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Pour l'exercice 2026, le Groupe vise désormais les objectifs financiers suivants : Une croissance à taux de change constants du chiffre d'affaires de +9,0 % à +9,5 % (contre précédemment de l'ordre de +8,5 % à +9,0 %). »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.