Dassault Aviation Shares Slip Below €300, Testing a Major Technical Threshold
Dassault Aviation falls 2.41% this Friday morning to €299.80, in a sharply declining Paris market. The stock is extending a bearish sequence that started several sessions ago, with a decline of over 8% in seven days. This price level brings the aircraft manufacturer close to its 200-day moving average, a closely watched technical threshold.
Dassault Aviation's share price is now at €299.80, below the lower Bollinger band set at €303.12. This move constitutes a potential overselling technical signal, indicating that the stock is significantly deviating from its recent trend. The RSI, at 37, supports this interpretation as it approaches the overselling zone, traditionally located below the threshold of 30. Moreover, the stock is trading well below its 20-day (€323.99) and 50-day (€332.93) moving averages, while remaining close to the 200-day average (€296.25), which could act as a technical floor in the short term. This movement occurs in a context of generalized weakness of the CAC 40, which is down 1.07% during the session. Airbus also falls by 2.78%, illustrating selling pressure on the aerospace and defense sector this Friday morning.
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Two days before this session's decline, Jefferies bank reaffirmed its 'buy' recommendation on Dassault Aviation, raising its price target from €400 to €420. At the current price of €299.80, this target implies a revaluation potential of over 40%, an unusually wide gap that reflects the analyst's confidence in the fundamental trajectory of the group. The financial calendar's next milestones are the general meeting of shareholders scheduled for May 13, followed by the publication of the first semester results on July 22. These events could provide more visibility on the order book and operational dynamics of the aircraft manufacturer, in a context of increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that currently weigh on all European markets. Over one year, the stock shows a limited decline of 0.46%, but the loss reaches 10.29% over three months, indicating a recent acceleration of the correction.
SectorAéronautique et Défense›Aéronautique / spatiale
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 45,7 %
Net income: 361,6 millions d'euros
-10 099 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
La guidance 2026 est inchangée : chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse
Risks mentioned
Carnet de commandes en léger repli (45,4 Md€ vs 46,6 Md€) malgré la livraison de 23 Falcon au S1 2026
Arrêt du programme SCAF/NGF en coopération franco-allemande, avec alternative à définir
Réduction des prises de commandes Défense (1 024 M€ vs 7 172 M€) liée à l'absence de nouvelle grande commande Rafale
Opportunities identified
Accélération de la livraison de Rafale Export : 12 Rafale livrées au S1 2026 (10 Export + 2 France) vs 7 au S1 2025
Négociation pour contrat de 114 Rafale avec l'Inde (Decision d'entrer en négociation gré à gré)
Programme Falcon 10X en phase d'essais en vol depuis juin 2026, entrée en service prévue 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8 500 millions d'euros
Management commentary: chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse par rapport à celui de 2025, classe 8,5 milliards d'euros (dont la livraison de 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.