Edenred Shares Soar 10% Over a Month, Short Sellers Retreat
Edenred continues its stock market reconquest this Friday morning, in a balanced Parisian market. The employee payment solutions specialist confirms its momentum initiated since spring, as short selling pressure continues to deflate.
A Rise that Places the Stock Among the Best Performances of the SBF 120
Edenred shares gain 2.46% to €24.13, ranking among the strongest rises in the SBF 120 while the broader index remains nearly stable. The stock thus extends its rebound to nearly 5% over the week and 10% over the month, bringing its quarterly performance to 33.35%. The reconquest accelerated after securing the Gold EcoVadis medal for the second consecutive year, with a score of 84 out of 100. The momentum also follows confirmed mid-June interest from investment funds, which triggered a 15% surge in a single session. However, over the year, the stock is still down by 11.84%, illustrating the journey still needed to erase the previous decline.
Bullish Technical Configuration and Marked Retreat of Short Selling Positions
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The price is significantly above its three moving averages, with a gap of 7.05% over the MM20 (€22.54), 9.04% over the MM50 (€22.13), and 20.35% over the MM200 (€20.05), indicating a bullish trend established across all horizons. The RSI at 58 still leaves room before reaching the overbought zone, while the stock approaches its resistance at €24.23, a threshold whose crossing would open a new technical leg. Concurrently, according to reviewed statements, the cumulative net short position reaches 5.46% of the capital spread across seven funds, down by 3.47 points over thirty days (peaking at 8.93%). This deflation reflects a covering movement by short sellers, who progressively lighten their bearish bet as the stock regains ground. The level remains high and warrants monitoring, though it should not be isolated from the rest of the stock narrative. The next step hinges on the stock's ability to break through the €24.23 resistance.
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Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.