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Exosens Drops 2.78% Mid-Session Despite Deutsche Bank's Recommendation

Exosens fell by 2.78% to 56 euros this Tuesday, January 13th at midday, in a technical correction movement after an RSI reaching 88, while Deutsche Bank maintains its 'hold' recommendation and raises its price target to 52 euros.


Exosens Drops 2.78% Mid-Session Despite Deutsche Bank's Recommendation

Deutsche Bank Maintains 'Hold' Recommendation

This Tuesday, January 13th, Deutsche Bank maintained its 'hold' recommendation on Exosens, while raising its price target from 49 euros to 52 euros. This moderate revision reflects the analyst's caution due to a valuation considered stretched after a surge of nearly 150% over the year. The stock indeed shows a weekly performance of 6.87% and a three-month increase of 28.88%, supported by a series of major contracts in the defense sector. Technically, this Tuesday's decline is part of a natural consolidation phase after testing the resistance threshold of 57.60 euros. An RSI at 88 places the stock in an extreme overbought situation, a rarely reached level suggesting a short-term exhaustion of the buying momentum. However, the price remains well above its moving averages, with a 50-day MA at 46.92 euros and a 200-day MA at 41.91 euros, confirming a decidedly bullish underlying trend. The MACD histogram remains positive at 0.97, indicating the persistence of favorable momentum despite this technical pullback.

Tuesday's Decline Follows Major Contract Announcement

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Tuesday's decline comes a day after a session marked by the announcement of a major order. On January 12th, Exosens announced it had secured its largest contract to date for its fifth-generation light intensifying tubes, with an order of over 7,000 units from ACTinBlack Group, to be delivered between 2027 and 2028. According to the company, this 5G technology offers a 30% improvement in overall performance and up to a 35% increase in detection ranges compared to standard tubes. The defense optronics specialist maintains an ambitious 2025 guidance, expecting revenue growth at the high end of the 15 to 20% range and an increase in adjusted EBITDA at the lower end of the 20 to 25% range compared to 2024. The group benefits from a favorable context linked to the increase in European military budgets and the strengthening of night vision capabilities of the armed forces. The monthly volatility of the stock stands at 11.86%, a moderate level given the amplitude of recent fluctuations, while a beta of 0.04 confirms a low correlation with Parisian indices.



Sector Défense Défense


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Nous sommes fiers de présenter notre performance sur les neuf premiers mois de l’année 2025, qui témoignent d'une croissance soutenue du chiffre d'affaires et de la marge brute ajustée, portée par la forte dynamique du secteur de la Défense.
  • Marché de la Défense très dynamique, forte demande pour la vision nocturne et les systèmes pour drones/anti-drones, croissance soutenue en Europe avec contribution des États-Unis et de l’Asie-Pacifique. Lancement commercial réussi des tubes 5G (plus de 5 000 commandes avant lancement).
Risks mentioned
  • Cession de l’activité Amplification par Micro-ondes entraînant une perte comptable sans impact de trésorerie en 2025
  • Dépendance aux budgets de Défense et aux évolutions géopolitiques
  • Risque d'intégration des acquisitions récentes
  • Incertitudes de la demande dans les Sciences de la Vie (marché américain)
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance adressable liée à la vision nocturne et aux applications drones/anti-drones
  • Commercialisation des tubes 5G avec commandes significatives (>5 000 tubes)
  • Expansion des capacités de production (+40% d’ici 2027) soutenant le développement commercial
  • Effets de croissance externe (Noxant, NVLS, Phasics) élargissant le marché adressable

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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