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Michelin Revises 2025 Forecasts Due to Deteriorating Economic Environment

Michelin has announced an adjustment to its financial forecasts for the year 2025, following a deterioration in the economic environment in the third quarter.


Michelin Revises 2025 Forecasts Due to Deteriorating Economic Environment

Challenging Economic Conditions Impact Volume Growth

The General Company of Michelin Establishments observed an overall growth in its volume during the third quarter of 2025, despite a challenging economic environment. While this trend was noted across most market segments, North America was an exception, experiencing a nearly 10% decrease in sales volumes. The demand in the Heavy-duty and Agricultural Original Equipment segments, as well as the Heavy-duty Replacement market, particularly suffered. B2C sales were also impacted, partly due to decreased competitiveness linked to changes in tariff rates.

Currency Fluctuations and North American Market Affect Performance

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Michelin's performance was impacted by the weakening of the American dollar, which shifted from 1.15 to 1.17, negatively affecting the group's available Free-Cash-Flow. This currency fluctuation, combined with the volume decrease in North America, led Michelin to revise its financial forecasts for the year 2025 downward. Prior to the release of the complete third-quarter results, scheduled for October 22, Michelin is adjusting its expectations for its operational results and its Free-Cash-Flow before acquisitions.

Revised Operational and Financial Expectations for 2025

For the year 2025, Michelin now anticipates an operating result from sectors (ROS) at constant exchange rates ranging between 2.6 and 3.0 billion euros, compared to a previous forecast of over 3.4 billion euros. The Free-Cash-Flow before acquisitions is revised downward, with an estimate ranging between 1.5 and 1.8 billion euros, compared to a previous forecast of over 1.7 billion euros. These adjustments take into account the current economic conditions and uncertainties weighing on the demand for both B2C and B2B clients.



Sector Industrie · Automobile Pneumatiques


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 25 992 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: -4,4 %
  • EBITDA: 4 663 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 17,9 %
  • Net income: 1 664 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 2 181 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 1,38 €
  • Payout ratio: 49,0 %
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: Guidance 2026: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 n'est pas publié; Free Cash Flow before M&A attendu supérieur à 1,6 milliard d'euros.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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