Nexity Shares Continue to Decline at Close, Under Technical Pressure
The stock of real estate developer Nexity closed down 2.91% on Tuesday, January 20th, settling at 8.35 euros compared to 8.60 euros the day before. This new contraction brings the weekly decline to 4.41% and confirms a persistent downward trend across all time horizons. Trading volume remains low with only 0.36% of the capital traded, indicating limited investor participation in a real estate sector still marked by uncertainty.
The stock of Nexity is in a bearish technical configuration. The price of 8.35 euros is now below the support threshold of 8.60 euros breached during the session, potentially paving the way for a continuation of the movement towards lower levels. The 50-day moving average, set at 8.84 euros, acts as an immediate resistance and highlights the selling pressure that has weighed on the stock for several weeks. The RSI at 41 points remains in a neutral zone, without signaling oversold conditions, which leaves room for a potential continuation of the decline. The MACD also displays a negative histogram at -0.02, indicating unfavorable momentum. The Bollinger Bands frame the price between 8.48 and 9.15 euros, confirming contained volatility but positioning the stock in the lower part of its recent evolution channel. Over one year, the performance remains strongly negative at -29.36%, illustrating the severity of the correction undergone by the real estate development sector.
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The developer operates in a sector environment marked by structural difficulties. The new housing market is experiencing an unprecedented crisis in France, with a drop in sales and weakened developers. The real estate sector is expected to continue to be shaken in 2026 by a fragile economic context, and despite the gradual easing of rates, the recovery remains uncertain. Market players nevertheless anticipate medium-term developments.
Nexity is expected to publish its annual results for 2025 on February 25th, a highly anticipated event to confirm the return to operational profitability announced by the management. In the first nine months of 2025, the group achieved 1.93 billion euros in revenue in a slowed market, while aiming for a positive operational result for the full year.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Promotion immobilière / logement›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.