Nexity Shares Decline Further, Testing Key Support at €7.65
The real estate developer continues its downward trend at the close of this Friday's session. The stock remains under pressure in a Parisian market that is also trending downward, while short positions remain entrenched in the capital.
The Stock Remains Above Its €7.65 Support and Below Its Three Moving Averages
Nexity shares dropped 2.1% to €7.69 at the close, down from €7.85 the previous day. This decline brings the weekly drop to 5.6% and the three-month loss to 9.6%. The price is now testing its support at €7.65, a level around which the balance of power is now organized. Above this, all three moving averages remain out of reach: the MM20 at €8.27 (a 7.1% gap), the MM50 at €8.42, and especially the MM200 at €8.97, which is more than 14% above the current price. The RSI at 41 reflects this pressure without indicating any significant overselling. This setup extends the sequence that began in mid-May, when the stock broke its support at €8.22 before the general assembly.
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According to reviewed statements, the cumulative net short positions reach 3.15% of the capital, carried by four funds. This level has slightly decreased by 0.17 points in a month but remains high. This indicates that some institutional investors are positioned against the stock or are looking to hedge an exposure, without recent dynamics indicating an increase in bearish bets. Operationally, the group announced yesterday the launch with the Mousquetaires Group of a 400-unit housing project in Villeneuve-Loubet, deliverable by 2032. This long timeline fits into the developer's urban regeneration strategy. Over a year, the stock has fallen nearly 19%. The €7.65 support, tested at the close, remains the technical level to watch going forward.
sous réserve de l'absence de nouvelle dégradation significative de l'environnement
Risks mentioned
Environnement macroéconomique dégradé s'installant dans la durée, marqué par la remontée de l'inflation et des taux longs pesant sur le pouvoir d'achat des ménages
Marché du logement neuf se maintenant durablement à un point bas
Capacité d'emprunt des ménages réduite par la hausse des taux (OAT 10 ans à ~5%, taux d'emprunt moyen à 3,40%)
Opportunities identified
Recomposition des marges en aménagement et promotion grâce aux transformations engagées et au plan d'économies de 100 M€
Backlog solide de 3,5 Md€ (1,6 année d'activité) avec rechargement sélectif en opérations à marges d'engagement cible
Partenariat stratégique avec BPCE en distribution de logements neufs et réhabilités prévu en décembre 2026
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Ainsi, et sous réserve de l'absence de nouvelle dégradation significative de l'environnement, la guidance communiquée en février dernier pour l'ensemble de l'exercice 2026 est confirmée : Amélioration de la rentabilité opérationnelle avec un ROC New Nexity en hausse sur 2026
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
