Nexity Shares Drop 3% at Close After a 12% Rebound Over Seven Days
Nexity shares ended the Monday, February 2 session down 3.14% at 9.25 euros, after recording a weekly gain of 12%. The real estate developer remains under pressure over twelve months with a decline of 28.6%, reflecting the ongoing difficulties in the construction sector in France.
The decline observed this Monday comes after a particularly dynamic week for the real estate developer, which had gained more than 12% over seven sessions. The closing price of 9.25 euros, however, remains slightly below the 200-day moving average of 9.55 euros, a threshold surpassed at the previous close. The RSI indicator is at 60, indicating moderate buying momentum without overheating the stock. The 50-day moving average, at 8.91 euros, continues to act as a technical support for several weeks. The major resistance remains at 10.01 euros, a level the stock must surpass to confirm a more sustained upward trend. The one-month volatility remains high at 20.57, reflecting significant investor nervousness about the stock.
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Nexity's annual accounts for 2025 will be unveiled on February 25, less than a month away. This announcement will be a major event for investors in a context where the French real estate market struggles to recover from the crisis that began in 2022. The financial calendar also includes the disclosure of commercial activity and revenue for the first quarter of 2026 on April 23, followed by the annual general meeting of shareholders on May 21. Over three months, the stock shows a limited increase of 2.04%, indicating that investors remain cautious about the group's recovery prospects. The coming weeks will be crucial to assess the developer's ability to navigate an environment characterized by high interest rates and sluggish real estate demand.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Opérateurs immobiliers›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
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