Nexity Shares Drop 3% at Close After a 12% Rebound Over Seven Days
Nexity shares ended the Monday, February 2 session down 3.14% at 9.25 euros, after recording a weekly gain of 12%. The real estate developer remains under pressure over twelve months with a decline of 28.6%, reflecting the ongoing difficulties in the construction sector in France.
The decline observed this Monday comes after a particularly dynamic week for the real estate developer, which had gained more than 12% over seven sessions. The closing price of 9.25 euros, however, remains slightly below the 200-day moving average of 9.55 euros, a threshold surpassed at the previous close. The RSI indicator is at 60, indicating moderate buying momentum without overheating the stock. The 50-day moving average, at 8.91 euros, continues to act as a technical support for several weeks. The major resistance remains at 10.01 euros, a level the stock must surpass to confirm a more sustained upward trend. The one-month volatility remains high at 20.57, reflecting significant investor nervousness about the stock.
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Nexity's annual accounts for 2025 will be unveiled on February 25, less than a month away. This announcement will be a major event for investors in a context where the French real estate market struggles to recover from the crisis that began in 2022. The financial calendar also includes the disclosure of commercial activity and revenue for the first quarter of 2026 on April 23, followed by the annual general meeting of shareholders on May 21. Over three months, the stock shows a limited increase of 2.04%, indicating that investors remain cautious about the group's recovery prospects. The coming weeks will be crucial to assess the developer's ability to navigate an environment characterized by high interest rates and sluggish real estate demand.
sous réserve de l'absence de nouvelle dégradation significative de l'environnement
Risks mentioned
Environnement macroéconomique dégradé s'installant dans la durée, marqué par la remontée de l'inflation et des taux longs pesant sur le pouvoir d'achat des ménages
Marché du logement neuf se maintenant durablement à un point bas
Capacité d'emprunt des ménages réduite par la hausse des taux (OAT 10 ans à ~5%, taux d'emprunt moyen à 3,40%)
Opportunities identified
Recomposition des marges en aménagement et promotion grâce aux transformations engagées et au plan d'économies de 100 M€
Backlog solide de 3,5 Md€ (1,6 année d'activité) avec rechargement sélectif en opérations à marges d'engagement cible
Partenariat stratégique avec BPCE en distribution de logements neufs et réhabilités prévu en décembre 2026
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Ainsi, et sous réserve de l'absence de nouvelle dégradation significative de l'environnement, la guidance communiquée en février dernier pour l'ensemble de l'exercice 2026 est confirmée : Amélioration de la rentabilité opérationnelle avec un ROC New Nexity en hausse sur 2026
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
