The share price of real estate developer Nexity has increased by 2.46% this Wednesday, January 7, at mid-session, reaching 8.95 euros from 8.74 euros the previous day. This modest rise allows the stock to regain some ground after a 0.28% decline over the past week. However, trading volumes remain low, with only 0.13% of the capital traded during the morning, indicating limited investor conviction. Over a longer term, the situation remains concerning: the stock has dropped 9.64% over three months and 30.35% over a year, making Nexity one of the biggest losers in the French real estate sector. This recovery occurs in a calm Parisian market at the start of the year. The developer now trades slightly above its 50-day moving average of 8.89 euros, but remains well below the 200-day moving average of 9.56 euros. This setup confirms a prevailing downward trend despite the technical rebound observed this Wednesday. The stock also remains below its resistance threshold identified at 9.29 euros, a level it needs to consistently exceed to hope for a more significant recovery.
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Technical analysis reveals a mixed situation for Nexity. The RSI is at 43, indicating a lack of strong buying pressure without reaching an oversold zone. The stock is trading above its critical support level identified at 8.62 euros, a level tested several times in recent weeks. The Bollinger Bands frame the price between 8.60 euros on the lower bound and 9.04 euros on the upper bound, placing the current quotation at the higher end of this range. The MACD remains in negative territory with a line at minus 0.03, suggesting a still fragile bullish momentum. Regarding fundamentals, while waiting for the annual results of 2025 to be published on February 25, the group confirmed at the end of October 2025 its outlook for the year, aiming for a return to operational profitability and a net debt below 380 million euros. The revenue for the first nine months stood at 1.93 billion euros, down 20% year-on-year. Opportunities include the extension of the zero-interest loan which supports demand from first-time buyers, as well as the strategic partnership with Carrefour. However, risks remain high with a commercial market at the bottom of the cycle and the upcoming municipal elections likely to slow down the processing of building permits.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Promotion immobilière / logement›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.