The cognac producer ended the session at €43.70, down 4.92% from Thursday's close of €45.96. This decline marks a new stage in a broader pullback, with a cumulative loss of 6.82% over the week and 16.68% over three months. Over one year, the performance is at -30.14%, significantly below the 4.73% increase shown by the CAC 40 over the same period. Trading volumes remained moderate, representing 0.38% of the capital, a level that may indicate an immediate lack of appetite for the stock. This session was marked by a notable technical break: the stock broke below its support at €45.50, a threshold that had previously acted as a psychological floor. This break may increase selling pressure in the short term. The stock is now trading below its 50-day moving average, set at €50.42, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 points is in a neutral zone, not indicating any extreme overbought or oversold condition, but reflecting a precarious balance between buyers and sellers.
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Regarding momentum indicators, the MACD displays a positive histogram at 0.32, suggesting a slight slowdown in the bearish momentum, even though both lines remain in negative territory. The Bollinger Bands, ranging from €45.22 to €47.92, frame recent fluctuations and show that the price is now moving in the lower part of this channel. With a beta of 0.27, Rémy Cointreau shows much lower sensitivity to movements of the CAC 40, which itself fell by 1.53% on Friday, thus limiting the extent of the stock's fluctuations relative to the index.
SectorGrande consommation · Vins et spiritueux · Boissons›Distilleries et producteurs de vin
Context
Period
Period: 1T 2025-26
Guidance from the release
Ventes S1 à 489,6, en recul de -8,3% publié et -4,2% organique. Amériques +12,8%, APAC -14,8%, EMEA -9,2%. Par division : Cognac 300,2 (-12,1% publié, -7,6% organique), Liqueurs & Spiritueux 182,7 (+0,5% publié, +4,1% organique), Marques Partenaires 6,7 (-35,9% publié, -35,7% organique). Objectifs 2025-26 abaissés ; ROC attendu en fort recul organique. Impact défavorable des devises mentionné.
Risks mentioned
détérioration des conditions de marché en Chine
effets de phasage négatifs
impact calendaire lié au décalage du Mid-Autumn Festival
perturbations résiduelles dans le Travel Retail
Opportunities identified
forte croissance des ventes en Amériques
lancement de Rémy Martin VS en Afrique du Sud et au Nigéria (prometteur)
résilience des depletions et succès des campagnes marketing
lancement du ready-to-serve Cointreau Citrus Spritz
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