Renault: New Decline of 0.31% to 32.22 Euros at Midday Monday, January 26, 2026
Renault shares fell by 0.31% to 32.22 euros this Monday, January 26, approaching its support threshold at 31.15 euros. Several analysts have recently lowered their price targets, while the company announced a partnership in military drones and reported a 3.2% increase in 2025 sales.
Technically, the stock is now trading dangerously close to its support level at 31.15 euros. The RSI is at 26, placing the stock in a deep oversold zone, which could hint at a potential technical rebound, provided buyers return to the stock. However, the underlying trend remains significantly deteriorated, with the price well below strategic moving averages: the MM50 is at 34.91 euros and the MM200 at 37.48 euros, confirming no bullish reversal at this stage. The major resistance threshold remains distant at 37.40 euros.
The MACD indicator also continues its negative configuration, with a MACD Line at -0.92 and a Signal Line at -0.78, indicating a bearish momentum that has not yet shown signs of reversal. The performance over seven days, however, shows a slight relief with a gain of 1.23%, but this is insufficient to reverse the long-term selling pressure.
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On January 20, the group published its 2025 commercial results, reporting 2.337 million vehicles sold, growing for the third consecutive year. Additionally, on Wednesday, January 22, Renault announced a partnership with Turgis Gaillard to produce long-range teleoperated military drones in its Le Mans and Cléon factories, a project under the supervision of the Directorate General for Armament. Prototypes are expected as early as 2026, and if trials are successful, the contract could be worth approximately 1 billion euros over ten years. Despite these initiatives, caution remains ahead of the publication of the 2025 annual results, which should shed light on the outlook for the current fiscal year.
"Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.
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