Renault Shares Bounce 2.25% at Close, Boosted by 2025 Sales
The automotive manufacturer's stock closed on Tuesday, January 20, up 2.25% at 31.85 euros, following the publication of its annual sales results. A welcome session in a challenging context for the stock, which has fallen more than 34% over the year.
At the close of this session, RENAULT recorded a gain of 2.25%, bringing its price to 31.85 euros compared to 31.15 euros the previous day. This rebound occurs as the stock is in an oversold zone, with an RSI at 19, a level that indicates significant weakening but may also suggest a potential for short-term technical reversal. However, the stock remains under considerable pressure since the beginning of the year, down 4.7% over seven days and 7.39% over three months, well below its 50-day moving average of 35.10 euros. Trading volume represents 0.7% of the capital, indicating moderate investor activity in a context where the group sold 2,336,807 vehicles in 2025, growing 3.2% in a global market up 1.6%.
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Renault's sales outside Europe jumped 11.7%, contributing to this commercial momentum praised by the markets this Tuesday. The brand reached a mix of electric vehicles at 20.2%, while making progress in hybrid sales by 17.0%, aligning with its electrification strategy. Despite these results, analysts' recommendations reflect some caution: Citi lowered its price target from 42 to 38 euros in mid-January while maintaining a buy recommendation, whereas HSBC reduced it from 47 to 46 euros. These targets suggest a potential upside of about 20% to 44% from the current price, in an automotive sector facing structural challenges. The manufacturer will present its annual results on February 19, a highly anticipated event to assess the financial translation of this commercial progress.
"Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.
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