Renault Shares Drop 2.6% at Thursday's Close on January 8, 2026
Renault's stock experienced a decline following a coverage initiation by Oxcap Analytics with an underweight rating and a target price set at 34 euros, close to the day's price. The automotive manufacturer's stock closed down 2.6% at 33.78 euros, having even dipped to a low of 32.80 euros during the session.
The decline occurred after Oxcap Analytics announced this morning the initiation of coverage on Renault with an underweight recommendation and a target price set at 34 euros, close to today's price. The automaker's stock closed down 2.6% at 33.78 euros from 34.68 euros the previous day, and even hit a session low of 32.80 euros. The stock thus traded 0.71% of its capital, indicating moderate activity. The price has now fallen below the key threshold of its 50-day moving average established at 35.25 euros, confirming the technical fragility of the stock. Over the past week, the decline has reached 4.63%, extending a marked downward trend. This session is part of a series of difficulties for Renault, which shows a decline of 6.58% over three months and records an annual loss of 28.6%, reflecting the structural challenges of the European automotive sector.
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The RSI stands at 30, a level that signals an oversold zone and could favor a technical rebound if the market stabilizes. The 200-day moving average at 38.16 euros remains distant, highlighting the medium-term weakness of the stock. The support threshold at 34.25 euros is dangerously close to the current price, while the resistance at 37.40 euros appears difficult to reclaim without a positive catalyst. Investors are now awaiting the presentation of the annual results scheduled for February 19, 2026, which should provide more visibility on the group's outlook for the current fiscal year.
"Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.
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