Renault Shares Jump 2.45%, Market Awaits Annual Results
Renault's stock made a significant gain this Tuesday morning, climbing 2.45% to 31.79 euros. This increase comes as the French automaker is set to publish its 2025 annual results in a few days, on February 19. Despite this rebound, the stock remains under pressure with a year-on-year decline of 35.33%.
This Tuesday's rebound in Renault's stock occurs in a fragile technical context. The stock remains below its main moving averages, with a current price of 31.79 euros against a 50-day moving average of 34.24 euros and a 200-day average of 36.79 euros. This setup confirms the medium and long-term downward trend weighing on the stock. The RSI is at 49, signaling a neutral zone without indications of overselling or overbuying, while the Scholes indicator emits a sell signal. The stock fluctuates between a support at 30.54 euros and a resistance at 36.36 euros, a range it has been confined to for several sessions. The one-month volatility reaches 9.59%, reflecting significant movements in the stock amidst an uncertain automotive environment.
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The upcoming announcement of the 2025 annual results, scheduled for February 19, is capturing investors' focus on Renault. This event is a critical moment for the diamond-shaped logo group, which will need to confirm or adjust its guidance in a sector facing multiple challenges: electric transition, cost inflation, and market slowdowns. The financial calendar looks busy in the coming months with the presentation of the first quarter revenue on April 23, followed by the annual general meeting of shareholders on April 30. The 2026 half-year results will be revealed on July 30, and the third quarter revenue on October 29. These events will provide valuable insights into the operational trajectory of the French manufacturer and its ability to improve a currently troubled stock valuation.
"Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.
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