Renault Shares Rise 2.25% at Close Despite Increased 2025 Sales
The French automaker sold 2.337 million vehicles worldwide in 2025, according to a press release published this Tuesday. This 3.2% growth occurred in a market that rose by 1.6%. The stock closed at 31.85 euros, up by 2.25% from the previous day, following the announcement of annual commercial results. The stock benefits from international momentum and the acceleration of electrification.
Renault sold 1,628,030 vehicles globally in 2025, marking a 3.2% increase from the previous year. Passenger vehicle sales rose by 10.0%. Outside Europe, Renault's sales increased by 11.7%, accounting for 38% of total volumes, thanks notably to strong performances in Latin America, South Korea, and Morocco. Hybrid sales grew by 17.0%, reaching about 287,000 units, which represents 38.4% of the brand's passenger vehicle sales. Electric vehicles now account for 20.2% of the brand's passenger vehicle sales. However, the commercial vehicle segment saw a significant decline. The group registered 244,927 units, down by 21.1%, due to a declining European market by 8.3%, the phased discontinuation of the Express, and the gradual ramp-up of the new Master.
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The positive session on January 20th followed mixed movements among financial intermediaries. Berenberg downgraded its recommendation from 'buy' to 'hold' and lowered its price target from 45 euros to 38 euros. Conversely, Bernstein raised its target to 43 euros with an 'outperform' rating, while Citi reduced its target to 38 euros but maintained a 'buy' recommendation. These positions reflect the market's cautious stance a few weeks before the announcement of the annual results scheduled for February 19, 2026. Technically, the stock is in a delicate zone with an RSI at 19, indicating a significant oversold condition that could favor a rebound if the market stabilizes. The price is well below the 50-day moving average at 35.10 euros and the 200-day average at 37.70 euros, confirming a weak underlying trend. The breach of the support at 31.15 euros will be crucial for future developments, while resistance remains positioned at 37.40 euros. Investors are now looking for more visibility on the group's 2026 outlook.
"Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.
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