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Renault Stock: New Setback in the Stock Market at the Start of the Week

Renault's stock fell by 2.23% to 31.12 euros this Monday, January 19, affected by Berenberg's downgrade from 'buy' to 'hold', with a target price reduced to 38 euros. The analyst mentions a risk related to Chinese competition, as the stock is currently in a technical oversold zone with an RSI at 20 points.


Renault Stock: New Setback in the Stock Market at the Start of the Week

Current Trading Conditions

Renault's stock is trading at 31.12 euros this Monday morning, January 19, down 2.23% from last Friday's close of 31.83 euros. The stock continues its downward trend in a tense market environment, marked by fears of a trade war due to Donald Trump's tariff threats. The diamond-shaped logo company now shows a decrease of 7.93% over seven days and 36.19% over a year, sinking into a downward spiral that worries investors. The morning was marked by the announcement from Berenberg, which downgraded its recommendation from 'buy' to 'hold' this morning, reducing its price target from 45 euros to 38 euros. The analyst points out a tangible risk related to Chinese competition in a context of general recovery in the automotive sector. This revision increases the pressure on the stock, while the American bank Citi had already lowered its target from 42 euros to 38 euros on January 16. The price is now significantly below its reference moving averages, 11.48% below the MM50 set at 35.16 euros and 17.57% below the MM200 established at 37.75 euros, confirming the structural deterioration of the trend.

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The RSI stands at 20 points, placing the stock in an extreme oversold zone and suggesting that a technical rebound could theoretically occur if this configuration persists. However, this indicator reflects the intensity of the selling pressure that has been exerted on the manufacturer for several weeks, with buying flows being awaited. The stock is now testing its support threshold at 31.83 euros, breached during the session, while the resistance at 37.40 euros remains distant. The MACD shows a negative configuration with a MACD line at minus 0.76 and a signal line at minus 0.40, while the histogram is at minus 0.37, confirming the total absence of bullish momentum in the short term. This fragile technical situation occurs in a context of mixed analyst revisions since the beginning of the month. While Bernstein had raised its target from 42 to 43 euros on January 15, Oxcap Analytics recommended on January 8 to underweight the stock with a target at 34 euros, close to the current price. Investors are now awaiting the publication of the 2025 financial results scheduled for February 19, a deadline that should provide more visibility on the operational perspectives of the group in a European automotive sector facing major structural challenges.



Sector Industrie · Automobile · Constructeurs automobiles Automobiles


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 57 922 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 3,0 %
  • Net income: -10 931 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 1 473 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: 7 370 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 2,20 euros par action
Guidance from the release
  • "Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
  • Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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