Renault Stock: Technical Rebound Ahead of Annual Results Publication
Renault's stock is up 1.33% this Thursday morning, trading at 31.92 euros after a previous session at 31.50 euros. This rebound occurs in a context of marked underperformance over the year, as the automaker is set to unveil its fiscal 2025 results in a week.
Renault's share price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which stand at 34.12 euros and 36.64 euros respectively, indicating a medium and long-term downward trend. The gap of more than two euros from the 50-day moving average illustrates the selling pressure that has been weighing on the stock for several weeks, with a decline of 10.76% over three months and 34.67% over one year. The RSI, a momentum indicator measuring the speed of price changes, is at 39, close to the oversold zone (below 30) but not yet entering it. This reading suggests that the downward pressure remains predominant but could stabilize in the short term. The most relevant technical support is at 30.54 euros, a threshold recently tested and which constitutes a floor to watch in case of further declines.
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Renault's financial calendar schedules the publication of the fiscal 2025 results on February 19, exactly one week from now. This event is a major catalyst that could alter the stock's trajectory, as the diamond-shaped logo manufacturer shows a beta of -0.08, indicating an almost total decorrelation with the reference index in the recent period. Moreover, in the sports division, Alpine F1 began its preseason testing this Thursday at the Bahrain International Circuit, with Franco Colapinto and Pierre Gasly behind the wheel. While this news does not directly impact the stock's valuation, it maintains visibility for the Alpine brand, whose strategic repositioning remains a development focus for the group. The general assembly of shareholders is scheduled for April 30, followed by the first quarter revenue expected on April 23.
"Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.
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