Safran Shares Drop 1.7% Despite a 48% Surge Over the Year
The share price of the aerospace engine manufacturer fell by 1.7% this Wednesday to €312.00 in a declining Paris market. This drop occurs even as the stock still shows a gain of over 10% in the past seven days and following the revision of price targets by two banks.
Safran's stock is currently influenced by recent broker stances. On Tuesday, BNP Paribas Exane issued a 'neutral' recommendation with a target set at €330.00. The day before, Barclays lowered its target from €340.00 to €330.00, while maintaining an 'overweight' rating. These targets are approximately 5.8% above the current price, indicating a modest revaluation potential according to these analysts. These adjustments come ahead of the first quarter 2026 results expected on April 23, an event that could impact the stock's short-term trajectory. The company's general meeting is then scheduled for May 21.
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From a technical standpoint, Safran's share price is at €312.00, almost touching its 50-day moving average of €311.89, which acts as a pivot level. The stock remains well above its 200-day moving average of €299.03, indicating that the underlying trend is still bullish over the medium term. The RSI, at 59, is positioned in a neutral zone, not indicating any particular upward or downward pressure. In a cautious market environment — with the CAC 40 down 0.63% during the session and the SBF 120 losing 0.53% — Safran moves in line with the tone of the Parisian industrial sector: Airbus drops 0.51% while Schneider Electric is stagnant. Over a year, however, the stock still holds a remarkable 48% lead, driven by the dynamics of the aerospace and defense sector.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
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