Safran Stock Tests Technical Support Following a 10% Rise Over the Week
Safran fell by 1.64% this Wednesday, trading at 312.20 euros in a declining Parisian market. This decrease occurs even as the stock still shows a gain of over 10% in the past seven days, following recent price target updates by two banks.
This morning, Safran's stock is trading at 312.20 euros, slightly down from the previous close of 317.40 euros. This decline is part of a broader market downturn: the CAC 40 is down by 0.63% during the session, while the SBF 120 has fallen by 0.53%. In the aerospace sector, Airbus also dropped by 0.51%. Technically, the price is just above its 50-day moving average of 311.89 euros, which acts as a short-term support level. Moreover, the stock is trading in the upper range of its Bollinger Bands, at 80% of the spread between the lower bound (265.97 euros) and the upper bound (323.87 euros), indicating a potential overbought zone after the significant rebound over the last week. However, the RSI at 59 remains in neutral territory, not confirming any excessive tension at this stage.
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Analyst recommendations have been updated in recent days. BNP Paribas Exane has initiated coverage with a 'neutral' rating and a target price of 330 euros, representing an upside potential of about 5.7% from the current price. Meanwhile, Barclays has lowered its target from 340 to 330 euros while maintaining an 'overweight' rating, reflecting confidence in the medium term despite a slight adjustment in expectations. These revisions come a week before the announcement of the first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for April 23. The general assembly is also planned for May 21. The stock's annual performance remains impressive, with a gain of 48.1% over twelve months. However, over the last three months, the stock has shown a slight decline of 2.5%, indicating that the upward momentum has experienced phases of hesitation. The upcoming quarterly deadline is now the next catalyst for the aerospace equipment manufacturer's stock.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
