Schneider Electric significantly advanced this Monday midday in a Parisian market that abruptly changed direction during the session. The stock is up 2.91% at 244.05 euros, after having closed on Friday at 237.15 euros. This rebound is part of a de-escalation between Washington and Tehran, which allowed the CAC 40 to erase its morning losses.
The CAC 40, which had fallen by more than 2% in the early morning due to fears of a potential armed conflict in the Middle East, made a spectacular turnaround following the announcement of 'very successful' discussions between the United States and Iran, leading to the postponement of U.S. military strikes. The Parisian index is now up by 0.61% during the session, at 7,712.03 points. The SBF 120 is advancing in similar proportions (+0.63%). Schneider Electric fully benefits from this renewed appetite for European industrial stocks. The stock is showing one of the strongest rebounds of the session, alongside other heavyweights in the sector: Airbus is up 2.57% and Safran gains 1.56%. With the threat of a disruption in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz temporarily receding, stocks related to energy management and industrial infrastructure are regaining strength after a tough previous week, with the stock down 1.59% over seven days.
Technical Outlook Remains Fragile Despite Monday's Gain
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Despite the significant rise this Monday, the technical configuration of Schneider Electric remains fragile. The RSI (Relative Strength Index, which measures overbought or oversold conditions of a stock) stands at 29, indicating an oversold zone—a level that reflects dominant selling pressure over recent weeks. The price is also significantly below its 50-day moving average, located at 249.04 euros, confirming a short-term bearish trend still intact. However, today's rebound brings the stock above its identified support at 237.15 euros, the level corresponding to Friday's close and the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands (236.40 euros). The most significant resistance is at 276.70 euros, which is more than 13% above the current price. Over three months, the performance remains positive (+3.17%), while the progression over one year reaches 5.31%. The next major appointment for shareholders is set for April 30, the date of the publication of the first quarter 2026 results.
2025 est une année marquante. Le chiffre d’affaires atteint un niveau record, la marge d’EBITA ajusté croît malgré la volatilité, et la génération de cash-flow libre atteint un niveau historique.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025: 40 152 millions d’euros, croissance organique +8,9 %. EBITA ajusté 7 520 millions d’euros, +12,3 % organique. Résultat net: 4 163 millions d’euros. Cash-flow libre: 4 635 millions d’euros. Dividende par action: 4,20 euros. Objectif 2026: EBITA ajusté +10 % à +15 % organique; chiffre d’affaires +7 % à +10 % et marge EBITA ajusté +50 à +80 pb. Carnet de commandes 2025: 25 362 millions d’euros, visibilité renforcée.
Risks mentioned
Incertitude macroéconomique persistante affectant la demande dans certains marchés
Volatilité des devises et leur effet sur le chiffre d’affaires et la marge
Inflation des coûts et droits de douane pesant sur la marge brute
Risque lié à la transition des logiciels vers des abonnements et à l’évolution du mix produit
Opportunities identified
Demande soutenue sur les centres de données et les marchés finaux des industries et infrastructures
Croissance des revenus récurrents via les Logiciels et Services
Solidité du carnet de commandes et potentiel de pipeline et de revenus récurrents
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu entre 42,9 milliards d’euros et 44,2 milliards d’euros
Expected EBITDA: Objectif 2026: croissance organique de l’EBITA ajusté entre +10 % et +15 %
Expected net income: Le résultat net 2026 n’est pas communiqué; l’accent est mis sur l’EBITA ajusté et le cash-flow libre
Management commentary: La direction vise une croissance organique soutenue et une expansion de la marge d’EBITA ajusté, portée par la croissance du chiffre d’affaires et l’amélioration du ratio des coûts des fonctions support sur le chiffre d’affaires; l’objectif 2026 inclut un effet de change favorable potentiel et une stabilisation du cash-flow libre autour de 100 % sur la période 2026-2030.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
