Schneider Electric's Shares Drop 14% in One Week, Key Support Threatened
Schneider Electric experiences a sharp decline this Monday midday, dropping 4.23% to 238.80 euros. The stock intensifies a bearish trend that began last week, with a nearly 14% decrease over seven days. This correction occurs in a context of widespread tensions in global stock markets.
Schneider Electric's stock fell by 4.23% during the session, trading at 238.80 euros compared to 249.35 euros at last Friday's close. This drop brings the weekly underperformance to 13.7%, erasing gains accumulated over three months, now down to a mere 0.51%. Year-over-year, the residual growth stands at 6.66%. The movement comes as all European indices are in the red during the session: the CAC 40 is down 2.01% at 7,833 points, the DAX has lost 1.59%, and the FTSE 100 has given up 1.42%. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 closed down 5.20%, illustrating the extent of risk aversion globally. The VIX index, a barometer of volatility on American markets, already showed a significant jump last Thursday, up 12.29% to 23.75 points, signaling a significant rise in nervousness.
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From a technical standpoint, Schneider Electric's stock price has broken through its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, located at 261.05 and 246.71 euros respectively, confirming a deterioration in short-term momentum. The stock is now trading close to its 200-day moving average, positioned at 234.25 euros, a level that roughly coincides with the identified support threshold at 231.85 euros. A downward breach of this zone would constitute an additional warning signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 44, indicating selling pressure, although the stock is not yet in oversold territory (below 30). The nearest resistance is at 276.70 euros, representing a gap of more than 15% from the current price, highlighting the extent of ground lost in recent days. The next major financial event for the group is scheduled for April 30, with the publication of the first quarter 2026 results.
2025 est une année marquante. Le chiffre d’affaires atteint un niveau record, la marge d’EBITA ajusté croît malgré la volatilité, et la génération de cash-flow libre atteint un niveau historique.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025: 40 152 millions d’euros, croissance organique +8,9 %. EBITA ajusté 7 520 millions d’euros, +12,3 % organique. Résultat net: 4 163 millions d’euros. Cash-flow libre: 4 635 millions d’euros. Dividende par action: 4,20 euros. Objectif 2026: EBITA ajusté +10 % à +15 % organique; chiffre d’affaires +7 % à +10 % et marge EBITA ajusté +50 à +80 pb. Carnet de commandes 2025: 25 362 millions d’euros, visibilité renforcée.
Risks mentioned
Incertitude macroéconomique persistante affectant la demande dans certains marchés
Volatilité des devises et leur effet sur le chiffre d’affaires et la marge
Inflation des coûts et droits de douane pesant sur la marge brute
Risque lié à la transition des logiciels vers des abonnements et à l’évolution du mix produit
Opportunities identified
Demande soutenue sur les centres de données et les marchés finaux des industries et infrastructures
Croissance des revenus récurrents via les Logiciels et Services
Solidité du carnet de commandes et potentiel de pipeline et de revenus récurrents
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu entre 42,9 milliards d’euros et 44,2 milliards d’euros
Expected EBITDA: Objectif 2026: croissance organique de l’EBITA ajusté entre +10 % et +15 %
Expected net income: Le résultat net 2026 n’est pas communiqué; l’accent est mis sur l’EBITA ajusté et le cash-flow libre
Management commentary: La direction vise une croissance organique soutenue et une expansion de la marge d’EBITA ajusté, portée par la croissance du chiffre d’affaires et l’amélioration du ratio des coûts des fonctions support sur le chiffre d’affaires; l’objectif 2026 inclut un effet de change favorable potentiel et une stabilisation du cash-flow libre autour de 100 % sur la période 2026-2030.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
