Stellantis NV: Shares Hit Annual Lows, Losing 50% in One Year
Stellantis shares continued their slide this Wednesday, falling nearly 2% by midday to 6.235 euros. The automaker's stock has lost over a quarter of its value in a week and is now approaching a new technical support amid downward revisions of target prices by several major banks.
Following the announcement of results considered very disappointing by the market, selling pressure on Stellantis NV intensified after two successive analyst revisions. On Tuesday, Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from 9.20 to 7.00 euros, while maintaining a 'market-weight' recommendation. The day before, Wells Fargo had reduced its target from 6.00 to 5.00 euros, with an 'underweight' rating. Morgan Stanley's new target represents a potential upside of about 12% from the current price, whereas Wells Fargo's target implies an additional downside risk of around 20%. These adjustments come two weeks before the group's annual 2025 results, scheduled for February 26. Analysts seem to anticipate deteriorated accounts, in an industry environment marked by overcapacity and the shift towards electric vehicles. The annual general meeting is scheduled for April 14.
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From a chart perspective, the stock is trading well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, located at 9.06 and 8.69 euros respectively, indicating a firmly established downward trend. The price has even broken below the lower Bollinger band, set at 6.81 euros, illustrating the recent acceleration of the downward movement. The RSI, an indicator measuring the speed and magnitude of price fluctuations, stands at 29, below the commonly considered oversold threshold of 30. This technical level signals that selling pressure has reached an extreme degree in the short term. The nearest support is at 6.14 euros: a drop below this threshold could pave the way for new lows. The one-year performance now stands at -50.6%, while monthly volatility remains high, at 30.29%.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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