Stellantis NV Stock: Technical Rebound Prior to Annual Results, but Target Price Lowered
Stellantis shares are up nearly 2% this Tuesday, trading at 6.60 euros, amid the imminent release of the 2025 annual results scheduled for February 26. This temporary rebound occurs as the stock has declined more than 51% over the past year and Grupo Santander has significantly lowered its target price.
This Tuesday, Grupo Santander revised its target price for Stellantis, lowering it from 8.80 euros to 7.00 euros, while maintaining a neutral recommendation. Compared to the current price of 6.60 euros, this new target suggests a limited upside potential of about 6%. This revision reflects increased caution two days before the release of Stellantis NV's 2025 annual results, expected on Thursday, February 26. The annual general meeting is scheduled for April 14. The stock's trajectory remains significantly impaired over intermediate horizons, with a decline of nearly 22% over three months and more than 51% over a year, illustrating the operational difficulties faced by the automaker in recent quarters.
Technical Analysis Indicates Persistent Downtrend
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Graphically, the price of Stellantis NV is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are positioned at 8.49 euros and 8.60 euros, respectively. This substantial gap—around 24% from the 200-day moving average—signals that the medium and long-term downtrend remains firmly in place, despite today's rise. The RSI, at 27, is in the oversold zone, a level that may indicate that selling pressure has become extreme and that a technical rebound, like the one observed today, could be possible in the very short term. The major support identified is at 6.14 euros, a threshold that represents the next level if the decline resumes after the annual results are published. Monthly volatility remains high, at nearly 31%, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the stock in this phase preceding the results.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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