Stellantis Shares Approach Critical Threshold at €5.53 After a 49% Decline Over One Year
Stellantis loses 1.99% this Thursday midday, trading at €5.817, amidst a general downturn in the Paris market. The automaker's stock continues its downward trajectory with a drop of over 38% in three months and nearly 49% over one year. The CAC 40 is currently down 0.89% at 7,776.83 points.
Stellantis NV's stock is significantly below its key moving averages, indicating a well-established downward trend. The price, at €5.817, is more than 16% below its 50-day moving average of €6.94 and nearly 30% under its 200-day moving average of €8.27, highlighting the extent of technical deterioration accumulated over several months. The RSI stands at 42, in a neutral zone but trending downwards, reflecting a lack of buying momentum in the stock. The nearest support level identified is at €5.53, a threshold that the price is gradually approaching. A downward breach of this level could pave the way for further correction. However, over the past week, the stock has gained 0.92%, which is not sufficient to reverse the overall negative trend.
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Stellantis's schedule includes two major events in the coming weeks. The annual general meeting is scheduled for April 14, followed by the release of the first quarter 2026 results on April 30. These events will be closely monitored by investors, in a context where the valuation of the Italo-American manufacturer has significantly decreased over the last twelve months. Today's session reflects a deteriorated market environment in Europe. The SBF 120, of which Stellantis is a member, is down 0.92% in the session. Among the industrial stocks listed in Paris, Schneider Electric is down 2.33% and Airbus loses 2.45%, indicating a widespread sectoral decline. With a beta of 0.35, Stellantis theoretically shows moderate sensitivity to market movements, yet its decline remains comparable to that of more cyclical stocks. The monthly volatility, measured at 15.53, remains high and reflects the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the stock.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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