Stellantis Shares Bounce Back 6% Midday Despite Two Downgrades
Stellantis NV shares have rebounded by 5.92% this Tuesday morning, reaching 6.50 euros. This recovery follows a challenging week with a 22.72% decline over seven days, marked by the publication of disappointing results and the announcement of the suspension of dividend payments in 2026. The automaker also faces two new analyst revisions that increase pressure on the stock.
This morning, Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from 9.20 euros to 7.00 euros on Tuesday, while maintaining an 'equal-weight' recommendation on the stock. This revision suggests a potential upside of 7.7% from the current share price. The day before, Wells Fargo took a more defensive stance by reducing its price target from 6.00 euros to 5.00 euros, accompanied by an 'underweight' recommendation. This target implies an additional downside risk of 23% from current levels. These successive adjustments reflect the analysts' ongoing concerns about the automaker's ability to improve its performance in a challenging industry environment.
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Market indicators reveal a pronounced oversold situation for Stellantis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the relative strength of the stock, stands at 24 points, well below the critical threshold of 30 that characterizes an oversold zone. This configuration indicates intense selling pressure on the stock in recent sessions. Additionally, the stock is now significantly below its key moving averages: 8.27 euros for the 20-day average, 9.11 euros for the 50-day average, and 8.70 euros for the 200-day average. This distance confirms the medium-term downward trend affecting the automaker. The high volatility of the stock, measured at nearly 30% over a month, illustrates the magnitude of erratic movements shaking the stock, as the group is set to unveil its annual 2025 results on February 26th.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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