Stellantis NV shares experienced a significant decline on Thursday afternoon, dropping 4.87% to 8.244 euros. This decrease brings the automaker below its 50-day moving average, set at 9.18 euros. Volatility remains high with a monthly coefficient of 9.34, reflecting uncertainties surrounding the sector.
Despite Current Decline, Analysts Maintain Constructive Outlook
Despite the current decline, Stellantis NV receives a constructive outlook from some analysts. In mid-January, Berenberg raised its price target from 9.50 to 10 euros, while maintaining a buy recommendation. This adjustment suggests a potential appreciation of over 21% from current levels. Meanwhile, Bank of America has initiated coverage on the stock with a target set at 10.30 euros, accompanied by a neutral opinion. This target implies an increase of about 25% from Thursday's price. Both institutions thus recognize the attractive valuation of the Italo-American group, despite the turbulence observed in the European automotive market.
Technical Analysis Shows Deterioration in Short-Term Dynamics
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From a technical standpoint, the stock is now trading below its key moving averages. The gap particularly widens with the 50-day moving average, located at 9.18 euros, indicating a deterioration in short-term dynamics. The downward breach of the 20-day moving average at 8.49 euros intensifies this selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index remains in a median zone at 51, signaling neither directional excess nor strong bullish conviction. The support threshold identified at 8.08 euros now appears close, while the major resistance is at 9.71 euros. The upcoming publication of the 2025 annual results, expected on February 26, could provide new elements that may influence the stock in the coming sessions. Investors will closely monitor these figures before the general meeting scheduled for April.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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