Stellantis Stock: The Share Attempts a Rebound After a Nearly 25% Drop
Stellantis stock is up 1.4% this Thursday morning at 6.51 euros, following several sessions of significant correction. The share has lost nearly a quarter of its value in a few days and is down 48.6% over the year. This stabilization attempt comes two weeks before the announcement of the 2025 annual results, scheduled for February 26.
On February 10, Morgan Stanley revised its price target for Stellantis downwards from 9.20 euros to 7.00 euros, while maintaining an 'equal-weight' recommendation. This revision reflects a significant adjustment of the American bank's expectations, reducing its target by more than 23%. At the current price of 6.51 euros, the revised target still suggests a potential upside of about 7.5%, positioning the automotive group's valuation in a transitional zone according to this analyst. This downgrade is part of a context of strong pressure on the stock for several months. Over three months, the share has fallen by nearly 30%, while the annual performance shows a decline of almost 49%. The publication of the 2025 annual accounts, scheduled for February 26, will be a crucial milestone to reassess the fundamentals of the manufacturer resulting from the merger between PSA and Fiat Chrysler.
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From a technical perspective, the stock is now very close to its lower Bollinger Band, located at 6.53 euros, indicating particularly intense selling pressure over the last few weeks. The price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, at 9.00 and 8.68 euros respectively, indicating a well-established downward trend across all time horizons. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 27, a level that places the stock in an oversold zone. This indicator, which measures the speed and magnitude of price changes, suggests that selling pressure has been particularly marked and that the stock is in an extreme technical configuration. The nearest technical support is at 6.14 euros, a threshold that could be tested in case of a new wave of decline. The high monthly volatility, at 30.34, confirms the magnitude of recent movements in the automotive manufacturer's stock.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
