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Technip Energies Shares Decline Despite Goldman Sachs Endorsement

Technip Energies stock fell by 1.56% late Friday afternoon, standing at 31.64 euros, despite a favorable recommendation from Goldman Sachs earlier in the day. The stock has been declining for the third consecutive session and is now close to its technical support threshold. The energy engineering specialist continues a downward trajectory that began several weeks ago, in a challenging market context for the stock.


Technip Energies Shares Decline Despite Goldman Sachs Endorsement

Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage with a Buy Recommendation

Goldman Sachs has initiated coverage of Technip Energies with a 'buy' recommendation, citing strong momentum in liquefied natural gas (LNG) project activities and visibility on earnings growth linked to order intake. Goldman Sachs set a 12-month price target of 40 euros, compared to a closing price of 32.14 euros on December 18, implying an upside potential of about 24.5%. However, this note did not halt the ongoing correction in the stock. Trading volumes at mid-session remain moderate with only 0.15% of capital traded. Over the past week, the stock has already declined by 3.02%, thus extending a longer bearish trend. The broker noted that shares have fallen by about 20% over the last three months, a drop that the American bank considers excessive given the company's fundamentals. Furthermore, the European Investment Bank has provided 40 million euros in financing to Technip Energies to support R&D investments through 2028, focusing on clean and circular technologies. Despite these positive announcements, the market maintains a cautious stance on the stock, favoring profit-taking after a year that saw the stock rise by 22.09% over twelve months.

Significant Correction Observed in Recent Months

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The correction observed in recent months is significant as Technip Energies has seen a decline of 22.87% over three months. This decline erases a large part of the gains accumulated over the year, although the annual balance remains positive with a progression of 22.09% over one year. The stock is now trading significantly below its medium-term moving averages, indicating a loss of technical momentum. The 50-day moving average is at 34.89 euros and the 200-day average at 35.19 euros, levels that the price has not been able to reach for several weeks. The stock struggles to emerge from its current weakness zone, despite favorable market prospects in the LNG sector. EBITDA growth is projected at 34.3% in 2026 and 10.9% in 2027, according to the note. Earnings per share are expected to increase from 2.26 euros in 2025 to 3.30 euros in 2027. These robust growth forecasts have not yet convinced investors to return to the stock en masse. The one-month volatility stands at 6.38, a relatively contained level that reflects a consolidation phase rather than a panic movement. The negative beta of less than 0.07 indicates a low correlation with the overall market, a recurring characteristic of the stock. Results published at the end of October 2025 were disappointing, with revenue of 5.4 billion euros over nine months, up 9% annually, but with an EBITDA margin maintained at 8.8%.

Technical Analysis Confirms Short-Term Weakening of Technip Energies Stock

Technical analysis confirms the short-term weakening of Technip Energies stock. The RSI stands at 37, a level that indicates a weakening of the bullish momentum without yet reaching the oversold zone around 30. This indicator suggests that selling pressure remains but could ease if the stock manages to stabilize its price. The stock is trading very close to its support threshold at 31.68 euros, a critical level to watch in the coming sessions. A break below this threshold could lead to a new phase of decline, while a rebound from this zone could initiate a technical recovery. The MACD shows a line at minus 0.68 against a signal line at minus 0.64, with a slightly negative histogram at minus 0.04. This configuration indicates a dominant bearish trend in the short term, even if the gap between the two lines remains limited. Bollinger Bands frame the price between an upper bound at 34.32 euros and a lower bound at 31.52 euros, showing that the stock is trading at the lower end of its volatility channel. The Chaikin Money Flow is at minus 0.28, a level that indicates significant capital outflows over the recent period. All these technical indicators paint an unfavorable short-term picture for the stock, despite growth prospects highlighted by analysts. The stock's ability to defend its current support will be a key factor in determining the course of its price in the upcoming sessions.



Sector Energie · Pétrole et gaz équipements et services pétroliers


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Technip Energies (T.EN) a réalisé une performance financière solide sur les neuf premiers mois de 2025.
  • Chiffre d’affaires +9 % (5 417,1 millions €), EBITDA récurrent +9 % (478,0 millions €), forte génération de trésorerie, acquisition AM&C annoncée, contrat majeur Commonwealth LNG remporté mais conditionné à la FID ; prévisions 2025 confirmées.
Risks mentioned
  • Dépendance à la décision finale d’investissement (FID) pour l’intégration de certains contrats majeurs (ex. Commonwealth LNG)
  • Impact des variations de change (effet de change négatif sur carnet de commandes : (797) millions d’euros)
  • Risques liés à l’autorisation réglementaire et à la finalisation de l’acquisition AM&C
  • Rééquilibrage du portefeuille projet entraînant une pression sur les marges (plus de projets en phase initiale)
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance du GNL et solutions modulaires (SnapLNG)
  • Décarbonation et carburants durables
  • Renforcement du segment TPS via l’acquisition AM&C (revenus récurrents supplémentaires)
  • Projets d’économie circulaire et de recyclage chimique (Plas-TCat, Ecoplanta)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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