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Last updated : 15/09/2026 - 15h23
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Thales Share Falls Further and Threatens Its 225 € Support Level

Thales declined sharply on Tuesday, with the CAC 40 also moving lower. The defense and electronics group is trading below its main moving averages, in a market context weakened by a marked increase in volatility.


Thales Share Falls Further and Threatens Its 225 € Support Level

A decline that widens the gap below key moving averages at 20 and 50 days

The Thales share fell 2.13% to €238.50, bringing its weekly loss to nearly 5%. The stock is now clearly trading below its 20-day MA, which stands at €259.37, representing a gap of more than 8%. It is also falling below its 50-day MA at €242.59 and its 200-day MA at €242.65, two nearly identical averages that form a double technical ceiling to break through.

The MACD is sending a pronounced negative signal, with a histogram at -3.62 and a MACD line (0.91) well below its signal line (4.53), reflecting a short-term bearish dynamic. The RSI at 39 remains in bearish territory without reaching the oversold zone: it does not rule out a continuation of the move before potential selling exhaustion signals. The support identified at €225.10 constitutes the next reference level to the downside.

A market context under pressure, with the Exail bond issuance in the background

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The session takes place in a globally degraded stock market environment: the CAC 40 fell 0.5% in the session, while the VIX surged more than 10% to 15.95, signaling a notable increase in risk aversion in equity markets. Thales is among the most marked declines in the index, ranking 35 out of 40 members. On the corporate front, the group had raised 1 billion euros in bonds in late August to finance the acquisition of Exail, announced in early July.

This two-tranche operation, with distinct maturities and coupons, demonstrates the magnitude of the financial commitment linked to this acquisition. Over one year, the stock remains positive at nearly 6%, but the short-term correction brings the price back to levels close to its long-term averages, which analysts and the market will monitor to assess the strength of the forthcoming rebound. The resistance at €271.90 remains more than 14% away.



Sector Aéronautique et Défense Défense


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 10 949 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 10 949 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 6,7 %
  • EBITDA: 1 150 millions d'euros
  • Net income: 485 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 1 865 millions d'euros
  • 519,2 millions d'euros
Risks mentioned
  • Résiliation du programme F126 par l'Allemagne : charge exceptionnelle de 450 M€, impact de 331 M€ sur le résultat net
  • Annulation d'une commande de deux satellites géostationnaires, impact d'environ -150 M€ sur les ventes Spatial
  • Marge Cyber & Digital en baisse à 10,9 % contre 14,4 %, notamment dans les Paiements et l'Identité/Biométrie
Opportunities identified
  • 18 grandes commandes de plus de 100 M€ pour 4 850 M€, dont 11 au deuxième trimestre
  • Carnet de commandes Défense de 41,1 milliards d'euros, soit environ 3,2 années de chiffre d'affaires
  • Très forte progression au Proche et Moyen-Orient (+202 % en organique en prises de commandes)
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 23 600 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: Organic sales growth expected between +6% and +7%, corresponding to sales of €23.3 to €23.6 billion; Adjusted EBIT margin expected between 12.6% and 12.8%

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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