Thales Shares Bounce Back 1.95% After Two Analyst Revisions in 24 Hours
Thales ended the week on a positive note, with its share price up by 1.95% at 241.00 euros this Friday, March 6. This rebound comes after a challenging week that saw a decline of over 5% over seven days. The stock remains under pressure relative to its moving averages, while two banks revised their recommendations the day before.
Today's movement in Thales occurs in a context of simultaneous adjustments by two institutions. JP Morgan downgraded its recommendation on Thursday, March 5, from 'overweight' to 'neutral', while maintaining its price target at 275.00 euros, representing a potential upside of about 14% from the current level. Meanwhile, Intesa Sanpaolo raised its target from 230.00 to 260.00 euros and upgraded its rating from 'underperform' to 'neutral'. This dual revision converges towards a cautious positioning by both houses, who nonetheless believe the stock has a margin for appreciation in the medium term. These adjustments take on particular significance as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the unprecedented blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran and military escalation involving the United States and Israel, place defense and military electronics groups at the center of attention. Thales, with a significant portion of its business in defense and security, operates in an industry sector directly affected by this regional strategic reconfiguration.
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Despite today's rebound, Thales' share price remains significantly below its main moving averages. The 50-day moving average stands at 252.38 euros and the 200-day at 245.72 euros, positioning the stock respectively 4.5% and 1.9% below these benchmarks. This configuration reflects a bearish dynamic in the short and medium term, as the stock has not managed to reclaim these thresholds in recent sessions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43, a level that reflects a lack of marked buying pressure without indicating an oversold condition. Additionally, the nearest technical support is at 236.40 euros, corresponding to the previous day's closing level, a floor that this Friday's rebound has managed to surpass. The next important date in the company's financial calendar is the general assembly scheduled for May 12, 2026. Over three months, the stock's performance remains positive at 7.49%, but it shows a decline of 1.79% over one year.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.