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THALES Shares Drop 2.79% at Close, Trading Extremely Compressed

THALES shares recorded a decline of 2.79% on Wednesday, November 5, closing at €240.10. This drop occurred as the CAC 40 slightly increased by 0.08% during the session. Trading remained extremely compressed, with only 0.15% of capital traded throughout the day. In this environment of very low liquidity, each order significantly impacts price formation.


THALES Shares Drop 2.79% at Close, Trading Extremely Compressed

Significant Decline from Previous Close

THALES retreated by €7 from Tuesday's close, moving from €247 to €240.10. This drop comes in a context where investors are sparing with their orders, significantly limiting repositioning opportunities. The low capital turnover mechanizes price movements, turning reduced orders into amplified movements. Over the last three months, the stock has nevertheless shown a gain of 1.52%, demonstrating some resilience. However, it is on an annual perspective that THALES shines: with a gain of 63.89% since January 1, 2025, the defense group significantly outperforms the CAC 40, which only increased by 9.53%. This divergence reflects the strength of the stock over the past twelve months, driven by a favorable context in the defense sector. Despite this correction, THALES remains far from its annual lows of €134.20 and is close to its highs of €279.30. The current price zone, between €240 and €247, continues in a dynamic of adjustment marked by the absence of structuring volumes.

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The tensions observed since the beginning of the week are intensifying. Over the past seven days, performance has settled at -4.99%, indicating an accumulation of bearish pressures beyond just today's session. The stock is progressively testing the lower levels of the consolidation channel formed over the last few sessions. In this environment of reduced liquidity, positions remain illiquid and investors hesitate to increase their exposures. The context of low volumes suggests widespread caution regarding current price levels, oscillating between partial disengagements and portfolio reevaluations. Managers remain cautious, waiting for clearer technical or macroeconomic signals before establishing positions. This relative immobility of capital creates an atmosphere conducive to rapid reversals, where an isolated order can trigger a disproportionate movement. Investors seem to be positioning their protective stops very close to the current price, amplifying sensitivity to minor variations.

Technical Perspective Shows Gradual Loss of Short-Term Support

From a technical standpoint, THALES is gradually losing contact with its short-term supports. The 50-day moving average is set at €249.00, which is €9 above the stock price: this gap has widened significantly. The 200-day moving average, set at €237.79, offers a first technical level. The gap between these two averages, crucial for assessing trend strength, has narrowed from €13.77 to €11.23, signaling a gradual weakening. The Stochastic indicator displays a sell signal. The RSI, positioned at 48, remains in the neutrality zone. The MACD indicator, registered in negative territory at -2.58, has not begun to recover. The Bollinger Bands position the stock at €240.10 between the levels of €242.23 and €264.76, leaving little margin downwards before crossing the dynamic support of €245.40. The major resistance remains established at €273.00, a distant level given the current context.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie · Technologie Défense


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 22 136 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 7,6 %
  • Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
  • Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 3,90 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • 2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
  • Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
  • Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
  • Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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