Thales Shares Drop 3.94% at Close After Volatile Session
Thales shares ended the trading session on Thursday, January 22, 2026, with a significant decline, dropping 3.94% to close at 251.40 euros. This downturn follows a series of mixed performances, with a 4.45% loss over seven days, while the stock still shows an impressive one-year gain of 66.32%. The week was marked by analyst revisions that impacted investor sentiment.
Recent movements by analysts have directly impacted the trajectory of the stock this week. On January 13, Deutsche Bank downgraded its recommendation from 'buy' to 'hold', while also lowering its price target from 285 to 280 euros. This decision came despite the French equipment manufacturer confirming its 2025 forecasts, including organic revenue growth of 6 to 7% and an operating margin between 12.2 and 12.4%. A few days later, on January 19, Barclays maintained its cautious stance by keeping its 'underweight' advice but slightly raised its target from 250 to 260 euros. This dual revision reflects a certain caution among professionals regarding the current valuation of the stock, as the current price of 251.40 euros suggests limited potential relative to the set targets. Investors seem to have factored in this caution, triggering a profit-taking movement after the strong rise recorded over the past year.
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Thales displays an RSI indicator of 72, indicating an overbought zone that suggests the stock might continue its consolidation in the short term. This situation comes after a sustained rise that has pushed the price well above its reference moving averages: 250.43 euros for the MM20, 238.56 euros for the MM50, and 245.05 euros for the MM200. The stock still maintains a medium-term upward trend, despite the session's decline. The next support threshold is at 227 euros, while major resistance is positioned at 270.20 euros, a level the stock had approached before starting its correction movement. The monthly volatility of 10.80 confirms the amplitude of recent fluctuations. Investors will closely monitor the upcoming annual results scheduled for March 3, which should provide new insights into the group's prospects in a context where European defense is benefiting from increased investments.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.