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Last updated : 15/09/2026 - 16h06
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Thales Shares Drop Nearly 2% Amidst a CAC 40 Weighed Down by Iran

The defense electronics group takes a breather after several rebound sessions on the Parisian market. The decline occurs in a Parisian market heavily affected by the resurgence of tensions between Washington and Tehran, impacting the overall stock index. Nevertheless, the stock loses less ground than the index and maintains a weekly gain.


Thales Shares Drop Nearly 2% Amidst a CAC 40 Weighed Down by Iran

A Measured Retreat in a CAC 40 Burdened by Washington-Tehran Escalation

Thales shares fall by 1.94% to €233.00, while the CAC 40 drops 2.02% to 8,266.14 points. The entire Parisian market suffers from the resurgence of tensions in the Middle East, with American strikes claimed against Iran and an announced Iranian retaliation on military installations in Kuwait and Bahrain. The VIX jumps nearly 11% to 17.90, indicating a marked return of volatility.

The stock, however, limits the damage compared to the steepest declines of the day (Société Générale, EssilorLuxottica, Stellantis, all down more than 4%). Over the week, the stock maintains a gain of 3.65%, driven by several rebound sessions after the late June low. Over a month, the performance is almost stable, barely positive.

The Stock Revisits Its 20-Day Moving Average After a Rebound Supported by the Exail Case

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Today's decline brings the price close to its 20-day moving average at €231.73, just above it. The 50-day (€234.86) and 200-day (€244.94) moving averages remain above the price, with a gap of 4.87% for the latter, indicating that the medium-term trend has not yet stabilized. The RSI at 43 remains neutral. The session comes a few days after CIC Market Solutions published a revised price target of €305, accompanied by a buy rating, which is about a 31% gap from the current price.

The fundamental context remains supportive: the group signed a binding agreement on July 6 to acquire 35.51% of Exail Technologies, with a view to a mandatory takeover bid at €134 per share. On July 3, the company detailed the consequences of the discontinuation of the F126 program, with an exceptional charge of €450 million in the first half but an increase in several 2026 targets. The next technical reference point is at the resistance of €239.60, breached at the beginning of the week and then lost again with today's decline.



Sector Aéronautique et Défense Défense


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 10 949 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 10 949 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 6,7 %
  • EBITDA: 1 150 millions d'euros
  • Net income: 485 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 1 865 millions d'euros
  • 519,2 millions d'euros
Risks mentioned
  • Résiliation du programme F126 par l'Allemagne : charge exceptionnelle de 450 M€, impact de 331 M€ sur le résultat net
  • Annulation d'une commande de deux satellites géostationnaires, impact d'environ -150 M€ sur les ventes Spatial
  • Marge Cyber & Digital en baisse à 10,9 % contre 14,4 %, notamment dans les Paiements et l'Identité/Biométrie
Opportunities identified
  • 18 grandes commandes de plus de 100 M€ pour 4 850 M€, dont 11 au deuxième trimestre
  • Carnet de commandes Défense de 41,1 milliards d'euros, soit environ 3,2 années de chiffre d'affaires
  • Très forte progression au Proche et Moyen-Orient (+202 % en organique en prises de commandes)
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 23 600 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: Organic sales growth expected between +6% and +7%, corresponding to sales of €23.3 to €23.6 billion; Adjusted EBIT margin expected between 12.6% and 12.8%

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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