Thales shares closed the trading session on Tuesday, December 30, at 229.7 euros, up 1.14% from the previous day. The trading volume reached 115,308 shares, representing 0.06% of the capital. This movement follows the announcement on Monday by the UK's Defence Equipment and Support of a major contract initially worth 10 million pounds sterling, the first step in a program that could reach 100 million pounds sterling. The goal is to design and deliver the next generation of autonomous portable command centers for the Royal Navy. Technically, the stock is trading at a distance from its moving averages: it is 6.5 euros below the MM50 established at 236.15 euros, indicating a weakening in the intermediate period. The RSI is at 55, showing a balance between buyers and sellers without any tension signal. The price is approaching the support threshold at 219.5 euros, which it is not testing at the moment, while resistance remains at 242.7 euros.
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Thales shares show a slightly negative performance over seven days of -0.35%, but maintain a positive trend over one year with a gain of 66.39%. In the first nine months of 2025, the group posted a revenue of 15.26 billion euros, with an organic growth of 9.1%, supported by a 14% growth in defense, with order intakes reaching 16.76 billion euros, up 9%. The 2025 targets have been revised upward with expected sales growth of 6 to 7% and an operating margin between 12.2 and 12.4%. The MACD indicator shows an improving setup with a positive histogram at 0.47, suggesting a possible short-term technical rebound. However, the volatility analysis reveals an ATR of 2.12 euros, reflecting moderate daily fluctuations. The stock has been under pressure for the past three months with a decline of 12.83%, particularly affected by difficulties in the Cyber & Digital branch. Nevertheless, the British contract provides temporary support in a tense geopolitical environment favorable to the group's defense activities.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
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